Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - October 3, 2023

Blue Jays at Twins

8:38 pm • ESPN

Toronto Blue Jays

0-2

1 - 3

Minnesota Twins

2-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Lopez			0.71	2-0
K.Gausman			6.75	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 0-2	+1.5-205	o7.5-110	+102
Twins 2-0	-1.5+175	u7.5-110	-122

Tuesday 8:38 p.m.

October 03, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

TOR o2.5+106

$50.00

MIN -122

P.Lopez u6.5 Ks-130

Tough matchup for Pablo - TOR has steadily been a below average K team all season, with only 20.9% K% over the L30 days vs righties. Really like TOR’s line too, with the 4 lefties - Pablo’s worse split, and he’s only K’ed the 4 of them 3 times in 31 PAs. And of course, we could/should see a quicker hook with him should he get in early trouble (these are three game series).

MIN -110

0.91u

@AnthonyDabbundo

Under 7.5-108

1.16u

Two assassins on the mound in this one to kick off. Sota has a solid relief after Lopez as well. Most of the runs should generate from Sota.

Over 7.5+100

P.Lopez o6.5 Ks+115

0.1u

Under 7.5-120

$50.00

P.Lopez o6.5 Ks+130

MIN -109

MIN -105

0.75u

Bet to -113

MIN -115 (F5)

0.75u

Bet to -124

Featured Insight
Twins Right Handed Hitters have struck out 23% against LHP over the last week -- eighth-highest in MLB. Blue Jays have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- second-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Blue Jays have scored just 4.2 runs per game at home this season -- eighth-lowest in MLB (81 games). The Twins have allowed just 4.0 runs per game on the road this season -- third-lowest in MLB (81 games).

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	N/A	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Blue Jays	N/A	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 1st	@COL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 13	COL -160
Oct 1st	@COL	W 14-6	-1.5 W	O 13	MIN -142
Sep 30th	@COL	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 11.5	MIN -192
Sep 28th	ATH	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8	ATH -275
Sep 27th	ATH	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIN -290

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gausman, P	73	4	5	3
RE.Swanson, P	11	0.2	1	0
LT.Mayza, P	3	0.1	0	0
RC.Green, P	14	1.1	1	0
LG.Cabrera, P	12	0.2	2	0
RJ.Hicks, P	25	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	0-5	0	0
2B. Belt, DH	0-4	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	1-4	0	0
4B.Bichette, SS	2-4	1	0
5C.Biggio, 2B	0-4	0	0
6A.Kirk, C	0-2	0	0
7K.Kiermaier, CF	2-3	0	1
8M.Chapman, 3B	1-4	0	0
9D.Varsho, LF	0-2	0	0
9W.Merrifield, PH	0-1	0	0
9W.Merrifield, LF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lopez, P	93	5.2	3	1
RL.Varland, P	2	0.1	0	0
LC.Thielbar, P	10	1	0	0
RG.Jax, P	8	1	2	0
RJ.Duran, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
1K.Farmer, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1K.Farmer, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, DH	2-3	2	2	3
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Solano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Solano, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Correa, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7R.Jeffers, C	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Wallner, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8W.Castro, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0	0