Blue Jays vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - June 22, 2024

Blue Jays at Guardians

8:10 pm • SNET

Toronto Blue Jays

10-8

3 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Lively			3.82	13-10
J.Berrios			3.60	16-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 10-8	+1.5-170	o9-106	+120
Guardians 1-2	-1.5+142	u9-112	-142

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 22, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

S.Kwan o1.5 Total Bases+110

1.1u

Under 9-108

1.08u

CLE -122 (F5)

0.41u

Flat to -130

CLE -124

0.5u

Bet to -133

Featured Insight
Blue Jays allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Guardians scored three or more runs in an inning just 61 times (4%) last season -- tied for lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Guardians RPs have allowed a SLG of just .296 this season -- best in MLB. Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .321 versus relief pitchers this season -- second worst in MLB.

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The Guardians are 40-1 (.976) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Blue Jays are just 3-33 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

The Blue Jays are just 5-12 (.294) after a road win this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .456.

The Guardians are 47-26 (.644) this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Daulton Varsho has an OPS of just .690 since last season -- 14th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .548 (430 PAs) since last season -- 10th best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Josh Naylor has a swing rate of 43% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .255 (12-for-47) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 8% (9/115) against Ben Lively this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 15% -- first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (41/226) against Ben Lively this season -- tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- fifth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Blue Jays	91-71	49-32	42-39	42-45	48-25

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Blue Jays	86-71-5	45-34-2	41-37-3	46-40-1	39-30-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Blue Jays	94-68	54-27	40-41	52-35	41-32

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 21st	TOR	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE -130
Jun 20th	SEA	W 6-3	-	O 8	CLE -118
Jun 19th	SEA	W 8-0	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -155
Jun 18th	SEA	L 5-8	-1.5 L	O 9	SEA -135
Jun 16th	@TOR	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	TOR +100

Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	86	5	3	5
LG.Cabrera, P	21	1	1	1
LB.Little, P	10	1	1	0
RN.Pearson, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	2-3	2	2	2
2S.Horwitz, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
3V.Guerrero, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4G.Springer, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Varsho, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Schneider, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
7E.Clement, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Kirk, C	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	82	5.2	4	2
RC.Smith, P	17	1	1	0
RS.Barlow, P	10	0.1	0	1
RH.Gaddis, P	8	1	2	0
RE.Clase, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-4	1	1	1
2A.Gimenez, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	1-4	1	0	0
6D.Schneemann, CF	1-4	1	1	1
7B.Naylor, C	1-4	1	1	2
8B.Rocchio, SS	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Martinez, DH	0-3	0	0	0