Astros vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 15, 2023

Astros at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Houston Astros

0-2

6 - 5

Miami Marlins

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 0-2	-1.5+125	o9-110	-130
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-152	u9-110	+110

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

August 15, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

C.Javier u16.5 Outs-120

Javier has been pretty poor on the road - 5.17 ERA, and under this line in 7/L8 (only over was at OAK). And in general, he’s pitched to a 6+ xFIP since June. MIA starting 5 lefties, which is Javier’s worse split (.351 wOBA, .823 OPS). And while MIA isn’t usually a good target for under outs props, since they swing a lot, this lineup actually does have 6 guys who are at or above league average in pitches per PA. Bullpen in great shape (with Verlander starting tomorrow and an off-day Thurs).

MIA +1.5-158

$0.63

MIA +105

Duh

Over 4.5 (F5)-114

MIA +110

0.5u

Bet to +104

Featured Insight
The Marlins have scored just 2.0 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- second-lowest in MLB (282 games). The Astros have allowed just 1.9 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- lowest in MLB (282 games).

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Featured Insight
Astros hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% over the last two weeks -- 10th-worst in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 35% against the MarlinsRPs over the last two weeks -- best in MLB.

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Tuesday's NRFI: Custom Pick for Javier, Gray
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The Astros are 25-17 (.595) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .435.

Luis Arraez has a miss rate of only 8% on elevated fastballs this season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Cristian Javier has located his fastball up 69% of the time this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

66% of Jake Burger fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 69% of Cristian Javier fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (88/335) against Cristian Javier this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 14th	HOU	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA +116
Aug 13th	NYY	W 8-7	+1.5 W	O 7	MIA +102
Aug 12th	NYY	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA -150
Aug 11th	NYY	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 8	NYY -146
Aug 9th	@CIN	W 5-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	MIA +106

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Javier, P	95	4.2	2	4
RR.Montero, P	5	0.1	1	0
RH.Brown, P	29	2	1	0
RB.Abreu, P	11	1	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-1	0	0	0
1M.Dubon, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	0-5	0	0	1
3K.Tucker, RF	2-4	1	1	1
4Y.Alvarez, DH	1-2	1	0	0
5Y.Diaz, C	1-4	1	1	2
6J.Singleton, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7C.McCormick, LF	1-3	1	1	1
8J.Pena, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Cueto, P	96	5.1	3	4
RG.Soriano, P	14	0.2	1	0
LA.Puk, P	14	1	1	1
LS.Okert, P	20	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Soler, DH	1-4	1	1	2
2L.Arraez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Bell, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	2	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	1
7J.Sanchez, RF	2-3	0	0	1
8J.Stallings, C	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Garcia, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Wendle, SS	1-3	2	0	0