Angels vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - June 2, 2024

Angels at Mariners

8:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Los Angeles Angels

8-9

1 - 5

Seattle Mariners

6-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Castillo			3.64	11-12
G.Canning			5.19	6-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels 8-9	+1.5-125	o7+100	+176
Mariners 6-13	-1.5+105	u7-120	-210

Sunday 8:10 p.m.

June 02, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

G.Canning u16.5 Outs-114

1.14u

Canning is under this line in 9/11. Line feels inflated, likely due to bullpen issue, but there are enough fresh arms in the Angels pen (and expecting a call up since Detmers was sent down). But SEA is a tough spot for Canning, who struggles with control (walk rate and strike% in the 37th percentile, zone % of 40.4% is 107th of 133 pitchers with 40+ IP). Mariners do not chase - 6th lowest out of zone swing %, and see 4.06 pitches per PA (most in baseball). Bats are coming around too.

SEA -1.5+114

1.14u

SEA -1.5+110

1.65u

SEA -200

0.5u

L.Castillo u18.5 Outs-140

0.5u

Over 18.5 in just 3 of 12 games this season. Seattle is off on Monday and the bullpen didn’t get too taxed yesterday either.

SEA -180 (F5)

0.28u

Flat to -200

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Featured Insight
Mariners have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played since the 2022 season -- tied for lowest in MLB. The Angels have scored three or more runs in an inning just 150 times (4%) since the 2022 season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Angels vs Mariners: How to Back Crawford & Seattle
Nick Martin•
Jun 2, 2024 UTC

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The Mariners are 32-4 (.889) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Angels are just 27-37 (.422) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Angels are just 17-20 (.459) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

The Mariners are 52-31 (.627) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

Mickey Moniak has an OPS of just .459 this season -- ninth worst among hitters with at least 84 total PA's-- second Percentile. Jeremiah Estrada has allowed an OPS of just .355 (68 PAs) this season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

59% of fastball strikeouts for Mickey Moniak are located out of the zone this season -- sixth highest among hitters with at least 84 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. 49% of Luis Castillo fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed an OPS of .769 (405 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .695 -- 16th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 28% (173 SO in 630 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 85th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 1st	LAA	W 9-0	-1.5 W	O 7	SEA -162
Jun 1st	LAA	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 7	SEA -161
May 30th	HOU	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 7	HOU -131
May 30th	HOU	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7	SEA -108
May 29th	HOU	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	SEA -127

Anthony Rendon
IF
Rendon is out with hip
Out
Zach Neto
IF
Neto is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Canning, P	93	6.2	4	1
RH.Strickland, P	3	0.1	0	0
LM.Moore, P	18	0.1	1	0
RL.Garcia, P	23	0.1	1	0
LJ.Suarez, P	7	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Rengifo, 3B	1-4	0	0
2M.Moniak, CF	0-4	0	0
3T.Ward, DH	1-3	0	0
4W.Calhoun, 1B	0-4	0	0
5K.Pillar, LF	0-2	1	0
6L.O'Hoppe, C	0-3	0	0
7J.Adell, RF	0-4	0	0
8Z.Neto, SS	1-4	0	1
9K.Paris, 2B	1-2	0	0
9M.Thaiss, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RL.Castillo, P	102	7	6
RR.Stanek, P	18	1	2
RM.Baumann, P	26	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Rojas, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
3J.Rodriguez, CF	0-3	1	0	0
4C.Raleigh, C	1-4	0	0	0
5T.France, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
6L.Raley, LF	1-2	2	1	2
7M.Garver, DH	2-4	0	0	3
8D.Canzone, RF	0-2	0	0	0
9R.Bliss, 2B	0-4	0	0	0