Wings vs. Sun Odds & Betting Predictions - May 27, 2025

The Sun currently rank 2nd-worst in offensive rating, and once you adjust for schedule strength (they’ve had the 5th easiest), I have them graded as the worst offense in the league so far. Their defensive rating (105.4) looks shaky on paper — 3rd worst — but they’ve also had the 3rd toughest schedule defensively, and I have them grading out around league average after adjustment. The Wings have had a weird start — ranking 10th in schedule-adjusted offense and 6th on defense. They have scoring talent, but HC Chris Koclanes has struggled to build a coherent offensive structure. Until that improves, their games will likely skew lower scoring than expected. This matchup sets up well for the under, with both offenses likely to continue struggling (especially the Sun), and both defenses probably being a bit better than the market gives credit for. I’m projecting this closer to 160