Sky vs. Mercury Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2025
Sky at Mercury
2:00 am • The U
Chicago Sky
4-1089
89 - 94

Phoenix Mercury
11-494
Sky at Mercury Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Sky 4-10 | +6.5 | +7.5-110 | o159-110 | +260 |
![]() Mercury 11-4 | u155.5 | -7.5-110 | u159-110 | -320 |

PHX ArenaPhoenix
Sky vs. Mercury Expert Picks

Daniel Mataya
Last 30d: 17-14-0 (+26.4u)
PHX -1.5 (Live)+100
1.5u
Have to believe regression is coming and sky don’t know how to play with a lead.

VegasIsMyBitch
Last 30d: 18-8-1 (+8.5u)
Over 159-110
0.91u

Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-3.7u)
Under 159.5-110
1.1u
The Sky have the 2nd worst offense in my schedule-adjusted ratings — and while their brutal schedule (toughest in the league) means some improvement is likely, this doesn’t feel like the right spot for it.
That’s because Phoenix currently ranks No. 1 in schedule-adjusted defensive rating, making this a tough matchup for a struggling Sky offense to get back on track.
Chicago also ranks dead last in raw defensive rating (114.5), but when adjusting for opponent quality and pace — they’ve faced the fastest and highest-scoring teams — the adjusted rating isn’t quite as bleak.
I’m projecting this total closer to 156.5.

Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 65-61-0 (+13.4u)
CHI +8-118
2.54u

Matt Moore
Last 30d: 58-87-0 (-5.4u)
PHX o82.5 Team Total-110
0.1u

Daniel Mataya
Last 30d: 17-14-0 (+26.4u)
PHX -7-110
1.1u
Buckets.

Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 54-57-0 (-5.5u)
PHX -7-110
0.75u
Buckets WNBA bets bets incoming (including some futures 👀)
Sky vs. Mercury Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Sky vs. Mercury Public Betting Percentages

Sky
Public

Mercury
100%
Bets%
0%Money%
Betting Trends
- Mercury are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Mercury are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Mercury are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mercury' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Mercury' 8 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 9-6 | 5-3 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 4-3 |
![]() | 6-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | N/A | 6-8 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 8-6-1 | 5-3 | 3-3-1 | 6-2 | 2-4-1 |
![]() | 8-6 | 4-2 | 4-4 | N/A | 8-6 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 11-4 | N/A | N/A | 8-0 | 3-4 |
![]() | 4-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4-10 |
Last 5 Matchups
Sky vs. Mercury Injury Updates

Sky Injuries
- Courtney VanderslootG
Vandersloot is out with knee
Out

Mercury Injuries
- Alexa HeldG
Held is out with chest
Out
Team Stats

Sky
Mercury

33-71 (46%)
Field Goals
33-78 (42%)
17-20 (85%)
Free Throws
12-19 (63%)
6-21 (29%)
3P
16-40 (40%)
42
Rebounds
30
25
Assists
25
Turnovers
6
Steals
11
5
Blocks
7
21
Fouls
18
Sky vs. Mercury Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Sky at Mercury Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Sky 4-10 | o75.5-120 | u75.5-110 |
![]() Mercury 11-4 | o83.5-110 | u83.5-120 |