Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds & Betting Predictions - February 26, 2026

Maple Leafs at Lightning

12:30 am • TNT

Toronto Maple Leafs

32-35-14

2 - 4

Tampa Bay Lightning

50-25-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Maple Leafs 32-35-14	+1.5	+1.5-138	o6.5+115	+185
Lightning 50-25-6	u6.5	-1.5+115	u6.5-138	-225

Thursday 12:30 a.m.

February 26, 2026

Benchmark International ArenaTampa

TOR +1.5-125

Join Discord. All picks posted before 8am https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy

TOR +185

W.Nylander o2.5 SOG+160

1.2u

Wrote up on Canada Sports Betting, and thanks to those of you who support my work over there. I'll continue to have player prop articles for every weekday slate, and so far those guides are that are +17.2 units this year.

TB -1.5+122

1.22u

Maple Leafs vs Lightning: This May be a Blowout
Tony Sartori•
Feb 25, 2026 UTC

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NHL Public Betting

Lightning are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Lightning are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Lightning are 22-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Lightning' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Lightning' 39 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lightning	38-43	16-23	22-19	28-42	10-1
Maple Leafs	34-47	16-25	18-22	7-23	25-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Lightning	42-39	19-20	22-19	37-33	5-6
Maple Leafs	46-34-1	25-16	21-18-1	19-11	24-21-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lightning	50-25	N/A	N/A	43-27	7-4
Maple Leafs	32-35	N/A	N/A	14-16	15-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Feb 6th	FLA	W 6-1	-1.5 W	O 6	TB -218
Feb 4th	BUF	W 4-3	-1.5 L	O 6.5	TB -205
Feb 1st	BOS	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 6	TB -220
Jan 30th	WPG	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 5.5	TB -185
Jan 27th	UTA	W 2-0	-	-	-

Christopher Tanev
D
Tanev is out for season with abdomen
Out for Season
Brandon Carlo
D
Carlo is out with lower body
Out
Auston Matthews
F
Matthews is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Anthony Stolarz
G
Stolarz is out for season with lower body
Out for Season
Dakota Joshua
C
Joshua is out for season with upper body
Out for Season

Victor Hedman
D
Hedman is out with personal
Out
Darren Raddysh
D
Raddysh is day-to-day with undisclosed
Day-to-Day
Brandon Hagel
F
Hagel is day-to-day with lower body
Day-to-Day
Jonas Johansson
G
Johansson is day-to-day with undisclosed
Day-to-Day
Pontus Holmberg
F
Holmberg is out with upper body
Out
Maxwell Crozier
D
Crozier is out for season with abdomen
Out for Season
Dominic James
C
James is out with leg
Out

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Maple Leafs

Lightning

Goals

Assists

Penalties

Shots

Hits

Faceoffs Won

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MatchupOverUnder
Maple Leafs 32-35-14	N/A	N/A
Lightning 50-25-6	N/A	N/A

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds & Betting Predictions - February 26, 2026

Maple Leafs at Lightning

Toronto Maple Leafs

Tampa Bay Lightning

Maple Leafs at Lightning Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Previews & Analysis

Maple Leafs vs Lightning: This May be a Blowout

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Public Betting Percentages

Maple Leafs

Public

Lightning

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Injury Updates

Maple Leafs Injuries

Lightning Injuries

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds Comparison

Maple Leafs at Lightning Team Totals