Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds & Betting Predictions - February 26, 2026

Maple Leafs at Lightning

12:30 am • TNT

Toronto Maple Leafs

27-23-9

2 - 4

Tampa Bay Lightning

38-15-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Maple Leafs 27-23-9	+1.5	+1.5-138	o6.5+115	+185
Lightning 38-15-4	u6.5	-1.5+115	u6.5-138	-225

Thursday 12:30 a.m.

February 26, 2026

Benchmark International ArenaTampa

TOR +1.5-125

Join Discord. All picks posted before 8am https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy

TOR +185

W.Nylander o2.5 SOG+160

1.2u

Wrote up on Canada Sports Betting, and thanks to those of you who support my work over there. I'll continue to have player prop articles for every weekday slate, and so far those guides are that are +17.2 units this year.

TB -1.5+122

1.22u

Maple Leafs vs Lightning: This May be a Blowout
Tony Sartori•
Feb 25, 2026 UTC

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NHL Public Betting

Lightning are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Lightning are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Lightning are 18-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Lightning' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Lightning' 27 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lightning	29-28	11-16	18-11	19-28	10-0
Maple Leafs	24-35	12-19	12-16	7-21	16-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Lightning	29-28	13-14	15-14	25-22	4-6
Maple Leafs	32-26-1	18-13	14-13-1	18-10	12-14-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lightning	38-15	N/A	N/A	31-16	7-3
Maple Leafs	27-23	N/A	N/A	14-14	11-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Feb 6th	FLA	W 6-1	-1.5 W	O 6	TB -218
Feb 4th	BUF	W 4-3	-1.5 L	O 6.5	TB -205
Feb 1st	BOS	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 6	TB -220
Jan 30th	WPG	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 5.5	TB -185
Jan 27th	UTA	W 2-0	-	-	-

Nick Paul
LW
Paul is out with undisclosed
Out
Anthony Cirelli
F
Cirelli is day-to-day with undisclosed
Day-to-Day
Maxwell Crozier
D
Crozier is out for season with abdomen
Out for Season

Christopher Tanev
D
Tanev is out with groin
Out

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Maple Leafs

Lightning

Goals

Assists

Penalties

Shots

Hits

Faceoffs Won

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MatchupOverUnder
Maple Leafs 27-23-9	N/A	N/A
Lightning 38-15-4	N/A	N/A

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds & Betting Predictions - February 26, 2026

Maple Leafs at Lightning

Toronto Maple Leafs

Tampa Bay Lightning

Maple Leafs at Lightning Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Previews & Analysis

Maple Leafs vs Lightning: This May be a Blowout

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Public Betting Percentages

Maple Leafs

Public

Lightning

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Injury Updates

Lightning Injuries

Maple Leafs Injuries

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds Comparison

Maple Leafs at Lightning Team Totals