NFL Props

NFL Expert Prop Bets

BUF
1-0
DEN
0-0
25 picks
9:30 PM
CBS
SF
1-0
SEA
0-0
19 picks
1:00 AM
FOX
HOU
1-0
NE
1-0
17 picks
8:00 PM
ABC/ESPN
LA
1-0
CHI
1-0
12 picks
11:30 PM
NBC/Peacock
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 44-35-0 (+1.1u)
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 35-25-1 (+4.9u)
Bryant is a third-round rookie out of Illinois who got off to a slow start, but emerged as Denver’s No. 2 WR following the team’s Week 12 bye. From Weeks 13–18, he averaged a 71% routes-run rate in the four games he played, missing one with a hamstring injury and another with a concussion. That bump in playing time raises his floor, but he still drew a target on just 15.2% of his routes as a rookie. Denver also tends to spread the ball around, with Courtland Sutton remaining the only consistent piece of the passing attack. This is also a matchup that could push Denver toward a more run-heavy approach. The Bills rank 12th in pass defense DVOA but 31st against the run, making them a clear run-funnel defense. Bryant also lines up in the slot 58% of the time, the highest rate on the team, and Buffalo has allowed just 1.56 yards per route run to slot receivers, the 4th-lowest rate in the league. The Bills are elite at preventing yards after the catch as well, ranking 1st in lowest yards after catch over expected and allowing 0.4 fewer YAC per reception than league average. Bryant has relied on YAC for a meaningful chunk of his production, with 40% of his receiving yards coming after the catch, the 24th-highest rate among 101 qualified WRs. That further caps his upside in this matchup. Denver has averaged the 4th-most plays per game this season, driven by ranking 7th in time of possession. However, Buffalo has dominated TOP all year, leading the league at over 33 minutes per game, which could subtly reduce Denver’s overall play volume. None of this means Bryant can’t catch one or two longer passes and clear this number, but each factor chips away at his ceiling. I’m projecting his median closer to 28.5 receiving yards with around a 60% chance he stays under 33.5.
137
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 22-62-1 (+2.2u)
TD 🪜
3
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 28-63-1 (-10.0u)
Josh Allen under 38.5 rush yds (-110 at Bet365) Yes, I know Josh Allen runs a ton in the postseason, but this line is too high even considering that. Over his last eight playoff starts, Allen's average rushing yards is 41.3, but his median rushing yards is 36, which is already below this line, and that's despite him rushing an average of nine times per game. The Broncos should be a particularly hard defense to run against for a multitude of reasons. First, they limit QB scrambles, allowing the 4th-fewest QB adjusted scrambles per game, and the 5th-lowest QB adjusted scramble rate. That seems counterintuitive knowing they are a high pressure, man-heavy defense, but my theory is that they are just so quick to the QB that they get more sacks, preventing more scrambles and also causing more throwaways. And in fact, that's the case as the Broncos rank second in QB-adjusted sacks + throwaways, which removes sacks that were the QBs fault, causing a forced sack or throwaway on 12.3% of all dropbacks. Then, when QBs do scramble on Denver it hasn't been easy sledding. The Broncos rank fourth in raw yards per carry allowed on scrambles, and third in both QB-adjusted scramble yards per carry and QB adjusted scramble yards per dropback. We QB adjust these numbers to account for the fact that some teams face a ton of Mall Santas, while others face a ton of rushing QBs. Denver has been in the latter group, facing QBs such as Daniel Jones, Justin Herbert, Jalen Hurts, Jaxson Dart, Patrick Mahomes (twice), Marcus Mariota, and Trevor Lawrence, all of whom have scramble games of at least 44 yard this year, and all but Mariota with a game north of 50 yards. Yet, all year the maximum number of scramble yards Denver allowed in a game was 31 (if we remove Week 18 against Trey Lance with backups playing much of fourth quarter when he scrambled for 47 yards). I'm projecting Allen's average yardage closer to 36 yards, but his median even lower around 33.5. I'd play this below the current lines of 36.5 at DK or FD as well, if you don't have Bet365 available to you.
82
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 22-62-1 (+2.2u)
14
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 19-58-0 (+0.2u)
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 19-58-0 (+0.2u)
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 19-58-0 (+0.2u)
PRO
NFL Prop Projections
PlayerPickPROOddsEdge
B.Nix Image
Denver Broncos Logo
Rush Yds
9:30 pm
BUF @ DEN
Under
Rush Yds
18.00
u24.5+100
25.8%
D.Robinson Image
San Francisco 49ers Logo
Rec Yds
1:00 am
SF @ SEA
Rec Yds
D.Robinson Image
San Francisco 49ers Logo
Recs
1:00 am
SF @ SEA
Recs

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NFL Player Prop Categories

What is an NFL Prop?

Proposition bets, more commonly known as prop bets, are wagers that are placed on side outcomes that do not necessarily directly affect the outcome of the game. Some examples of NFL Prop bets are a player’s over/under in rushing yards for a given game or season or an over/under on how much a team will score in a game.

Most Common NFL Player Props

At some of the best sportsbooks (check out our FanDuel Promo Code, DraftKings Promo Code, and theScore Bet Promo Code) bettors will not have a shortage of NFL prop bets to choose from for the 2025-2026 NFL season.

Some of the most common NFL player prop markets that you can wager on for season-long outcomes and week-to-week throughout the season include anytime touchdown propspassing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, first touchdown scorer, touchdown passes, and receptions.

What to Consider Before Placing NFL Prop Bets

Before diving into the best NFL prop bets, you must set aside an appropriate bankroll and, ultimately, bet well within your means and responsibly.

Next, you want to make sure you do plenty of research. There is so much content, information, and analytic insight that you can dive into regarding specific matchups and trends that can help make you a winning bettor.

And finally, make sure to have fun! As long as you are betting within your means, betting on NFL player props should be for entertainment purposes first and foremost.

Want More?

Aside from our NFL prop bets hub, we have plenty of resources available to you, such as NFL Odds, NFL Futures, NFL Picks, and NFL ATS Standings

How Our Tools Work

At Action Network Pro, users can create sports betting edges using our tool. Just toggle the “All Props” drop-down menu, and you’ll find a list of +EV (plus expected value) NFL player props using our tool.

As a sports bettor, the objective is to create a positive expected value, a probability gap between a bettor’s line and a sportsbook. For example, our Action Pros may set a line of -180 versus a price of -110, commonly found at major online sportsbooks. This would create a 22.74% edge!

At Action Pro, using our tool, we’ll designate the best price depending on whichever player prop menu you want to use, and we’ll compare that price versus our own to see if there is any edge you can take advantage of!

NFL Player Props FAQs
Where can I bet NFL player props?
Almost every major American sportsbook will offer NFL player props, though some have more than others.
What kind of NFL props do sportsbooks offer?
NFL props have become a massive part of the betting handle in the last few years as legal sportsbooks try to out-innovate each other. Here are some other props offered: Player to score a touchdown Player to score the first TD Over/under receiving yards, passing yards, etc. Longest completion over/under a pre-deteremined amount Player to score 2+ touchdowns
Are NFL props a good bet?
It depends on the bet, of course. But NFL player props are often a more exploitable market than sides and totals, which have higher limits and are more efficient.