Timberwolves vs. Bucks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 9, 2025

Giannis still elite — but no Dame, thin support vs elite D. Wolves allow just 109.4 PPG (5th), 46.1% FG (7th). Bucks fading late w/o Lillard — just 40.6 RPG last 5, 7.3 steals. Edwards surging: 27.4 PPG, 39.7% from deep, Bucks weak vs perimeter scoring. Minnesota forces bad reads — opponents 1.78 AST/TO. Gobert anchors paint: 768 boards (2nd in NBA). Bucks need interior scoring — 48.5% FG, just 38.4% from deep — tough vs Wolves rim D. Wolves clicking: 121.2 PPG last 5, 49.3% FG. MIL giving up 120.6 in same stretch. Wolves 5-0 last 5, +11.6 avg margin. Bucks’ wins vs soft D: MIA, NO, PHI. First matchup: MIN -9, now -4? Portis return inflated line. Wolves deeper, defending better, rolling hard — we ride the hotter squad on the shorter number.

Gobert has been great in this matchup with 13+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games against the Bucks. This is a must-win game for Minnesota to stay out of the Play-In Tournament and Gobert is a great foil for Brook Lopez and Giannis on the interior. Gobert has also been solid lately hitting this in 6 straight games.