Rockets vs. Warriors Odds & Betting Predictions - April 7, 2025

Rockets at Warriors

12:30 am • NBA TV

Houston Rockets

52-30

106

106 - 96

Golden State Warriors

37-45

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockets 52-30	+3	+5.5-109	o225.5-110	+180
Warriors 37-45	u227.5	-5.5-111	u225.5-110	-220

Monday 12:30 a.m.

April 07, 2025

Chase CenterSan Francisco

F.VanVleet u5.5 Ast-136

0.5u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

F.VanVleet u5.5 Ast-136

Projecting closer to -160. FVV has cleared this in 4 straight games, but my Pass Mix model shows him +7.6 assists over expected over those last 4 games so regression should be incoming (Amen has shot 80% on his passes over that stretch which is unsustainable). He’s stayed under this number 58% of the time over the last 12 games (since his return from injury). That’s despite the Rockets averaging 120.5 pts/game over that stretch. Their team total is 109.5 tonight which means assists will be a bit tougher to come by as well.

A.Thompson o14.5 Pts-105

HOU +185

0.93u

HOU +5.5-110

0.5u

A.Sengun u33.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+100

0.33u

1.64% ev

F.VanVleet u22.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-114

0.54u

2.72% ev

A.Thompson o27.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+116

0.75u

4.36% ev

J.Green o29.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+118

1.38u

8.17% ev

HOU +5.5-108

GSW -4.5-112

0.62u

2.76% ev

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Warriors are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Warriors are 1-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Warriors are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Warriors' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Warriors' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	35-46-1	18-23	17-23-1	21-29	14-17-1
Rockets	36-46	17-24	19-22	30-42	6-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Warriors	48-32-2	25-14-2	23-18	33-16-1	15-16-1
Rockets	39-43	16-25	23-18	36-36	3-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	37-45	N/A	N/A	29-21	8-24
Rockets	52-30	N/A	N/A	48-24	4-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	DEN	W 118-104	-3 W	U 237	GSW -155
Apr 4th	@LAL	W 123-116	+1 W	O 230	GSW -105
Apr 2nd	@MEM	W 134-125	-3.5 W	O 239	GSW -156
Mar 30th	@SAS	W 148-106	-11.5 W	O 231.5	GSW -575
Mar 29th	@NOP	W 111-95	-16.5 L	U 226.5	GSW -1400

Steven Adams
C
Adams is out with ankle
Out
Fred VanVleet
PG
VanVleet is out with knee
Out

Al Horford
C
Horford is questionable with back
Questionable

Kristaps Porziņģis
C
Kristaps Porzingis (injury management) probable Friday.
Probable
Jimmy Butler
SF
Butler is out with knee
Out
Draymond Green
PF
Draymond Green (injury management) out Sunday.
Out
Moses Moody
SG
Moody is out with knee
Out
Gui Santos
PF
Santos is questionable with pelvis
Questionable
Quinten Post
C
Quinten Post (injury management) out Thursday.
Out
LJ Cryer
PG
LJ Cryer (ankle) out Friday.
Out