Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Odds & Betting Predictions - February 26, 2023

Nuggets at Grizzlies

1:00 am • BSSE

Denver Nuggets

2-3

94 - 112

Memphis Grizzlies

3-3

112

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nuggets 2-3	+3-112	o235.5-110	+125
Grizzlies 3-3	-3-108	u235.5-110	-145

Sunday 1:00 a.m.

February 26, 2023

FedExForumMemphis

DEN +3-110

1.1u

N.Jokic u24.5 Pts-114

Under in 9/15 matchups vs the top 10 teams vs centers (MEM is 5th and has stayed consistent without Adams). MEM also likely crowds Jokic in the paint - I see this as more of an assist game for him. In these matchups, he has 12+ assists in 7/12 games.

M.Porter o3.5 3pt M+160

0.25u

Best Bets for my full analysis: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-odds-expert-picks-predictions-best-bets-for-heat-vs-hornets-nuggets-vs-grizzlies-feb-25

M.Porter o3.5 3pt M+160

0.25u

Bet at FanDuel. Tailing @JoeDellera

M.Porter o3.5 3pt M+160

0.25u

M.Porter o4.5 3pt M+380

0.15u

M.Porter o3.5 3pt M+160

0.5u

FD alt. I don’t want to lay the juice on his base line of 2.5. He’s over this in 6/11 (55%) without Gordon averaging 3.4. Going to play 5+ too a number he’s hit in 5/11 without Gordon. Memphis allows the 5th highest frequency of 3s, and this has spiked without Adams.

N.Jokic o12.5 Rebs-140

0.71u

Under 235-110

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NBA Public Betting

Grizzlies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Grizzlies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Grizzlies are 0-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Grizzlies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Grizzlies' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Grizzlies	2-3-1	2-2	0-1-1	1-2-1	1-1
Nuggets	1-4	0-2	1-2	0-4	1-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Grizzlies	4-2	2-2	2-0	3-1	1-1
Nuggets	3-2	0-2	3-0	2-2	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Grizzlies	3-3	N/A	N/A	2-2	1-1
Nuggets	2-3	N/A	N/A	2-2	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Feb 24th	@PHI	L 105-110	+3 L	U 232	PHI +130
Feb 16th	UTA	W 117-111	-	-	-
Feb 12th	@BOS	L 109-119	+3.5 L	O 225.5	BOS +133
Feb 11th	MIN	W 128-107	-6.5 W	O 231	MEM -260
Feb 8th	CHI	W 104-89	-9.5 W	U 232	MEM -425

Aaron Gordon
SF
Gordon is probable with knee
Probable

Marcus Smart
PG
Marcus Smart (ankle) out Thursday.
Out
Luke Kennard
PF
Kennard is out with foot
Out
John Konchar
PF
John Konchar (quad) unlikely to play Thursday; per Taylor Jenkins.
Out
Desmond Bane
PG
Desmond Bane (oblique) out Thursday.
Out
Vince Williams
PF
Williams is out with tibia
Out
GG Jackson
SF
Jackson is out with foot
Out