Grizzlies vs. Pelicans Odds & Betting Predictions - December 28, 2024

D. Murray ⬇️ 8.5 Assists (-145 @ DraftKings) THE BOUNCE 📽️: 7.27 Asts I could copy and paste Haliburton's write-up from yesterday bc it relies on the same sort of reads. **1. Recent Performance Trends** Murray has gone under this mark in 6 of his last 10 games, averaging 8.0 assists per game during this stretch. He averages 12.5 potential assists per game, indicating a reliance on high teammate conversion rates to reach 9+ assists. **2. Defensive Matchup** The Grizzlies allow the 6th-fewest assists per game overall and the 7th-fewest to opposing point guards. Memphis ranks 4th in defensive efficiency and is particularly stingy against playmakers. **3. Shooting Efficiency Impact** Memphis allows the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage (and 5th-lowest on the road) while also ranking near the top in effective field goal percentage defense. This could hinder the success rate of Murray’s assist opportunities. **4. Game Script Concerns** The Grizzlies are favored by -8.5, suggesting a potential blowout. If the game gets out of hand, Murray’s minutes could be limited, further decreasing his chances to surpass this line.

FD

D. Murray ⬇️ 8.5 Assists (-145 @ DraftKings) THE BOUNCE 📽️: 7.27 Asts I could copy and paste Haliburton's write-up from yesterday bc it relies on the same sort of reads. **1. Recent Performance Trends** Murray has gone under this mark in 6 of his last 10 games, averaging 8.0 assists per game during this stretch. He averages 12.5 potential assists per game, indicating a reliance on high teammate conversion rates to reach 9+ assists. **2. Defensive Matchup** The Grizzlies allow the 6th-fewest assists per game overall and the 7th-fewest to opposing point guards. Memphis ranks 4th in defensive efficiency and is particularly stingy against playmakers. **3. Shooting Efficiency Impact** Memphis allows the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage (and 5th-lowest on the road) while also ranking near the top in effective field goal percentage defense. This could hinder the success rate of Murray’s assist opportunities. **4. Game Script Concerns** The Grizzlies are favored by -8.5, suggesting a potential blowout. If the game gets out of hand, Murray’s minutes could be limited, further decreasing his chances to surpass this line.