Celtics vs. Trail Blazers Odds & Betting Predictions - March 12, 2024

Celtics at Trail Blazers

2:30 am • NBA TV

Boston Celtics

5-1

121

121 - 99

Portland Trail Blazers

2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Celtics 5-1	-13.5	-11-110	o221-110	-625
Trail Blazers 2-4	u218.5	+11-110	u221-110	+455

Tuesday 2:30 a.m.

March 12, 2024

Moda CenterPortland

S.Henderson o19.5 Pts+500

0.25u

S.Henderson o13.5 Pts-108

0.75u

A.Horford o1.5 3pt M-110

0.5u

S.Henderson o13.5 Pts-108

0.54u

#Tailing @PropBetGuy

S.Henderson o13.5 Pts-108

1.08u

Off his minutes restriction, per Billups, and he’s over this line in 12/L16 in games he’s played just 28+ minutes. A blowout can be a concern, but Billups has shown all season he’s going to ride his guys and give them minutes. Matchup wise - it’s better than you’d think. No Porzingis at the rim, and no Holiday on the perimeter. I assume white will be on Simons, and Brown on Grant. He’ll get Pritchard (23rd percentile in defensive EPM, per Dunks and Threes). And Horford will be on Ayton. And it’s not like the Celtics PnR defense has been great - they allow the 7th most ppg. I see Scoot getting shots up tonight.

BOS -6.5 (1H)-115

0.5u

BOS -7.5 (1H)-107

$100.00

D.White o5.5 Ast-108

1.08u

Jrue Holiday ruled out (and Porzingis) and White has already cleared this number in 7 straight games. Only a one game sample size without Porzingis and Holday this season, and White finished with 10 assists in that game. Slight blowout risk, but I thought this line might be 6.5 at plus money, so the value is there.

BOS -9.5-110

0.91u

BOS -12-105

Featured Insight
The Celtics have allowed an eFG% of 52% this season -- 2nd-best in the NBA; the Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% this season -- worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Trail Blazers have allowed a TS% of 47% in close and late situations this season -- 2nd-best in the NBA; the Celtics has a TS% of 48% in close and late situations this season -- T-9th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Trail Blazers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Trail Blazers are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Trail Blazers are 1-0 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Trail Blazers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Trail Blazers' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Trail Blazers	3-2-1	2-2	1-0-1	N/A	3-2-1
Celtics	4-2	2-0	2-2	4-2	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Trail Blazers	3-3	3-1	0-2	N/A	3-3
Celtics	3-3	1-1	2-2	3-3	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Trail Blazers	2-4	N/A	N/A	N/A	2-4
Celtics	5-1	N/A	N/A	5-1	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 10th	TOR	W 128-118	+2.5 W	O 228.5	POR +109
Mar 9th	HOU	L 107-123	+6.5 L	O 219	HOU +215
Mar 7th	OKC	L 120-128	+13 W	O 225	OKC +547
Mar 5th	@MIN	L 114-119	+15.5 W	O 210.5	MIN +860
Mar 3rd	@MEM	W 107-100	+2.5 W	U 210	POR +115