White Sox vs Dodgers Odds
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
+220 | 8.5 -105 / -115 | +1.5 +105 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| -270 | 8.5 -105 / -115 | -1.5 -126 |
Despite a record of 29-39, the White Sox sit only 5.5 games back of the Twins for first place in the AL Central. They will turn to Mike Clevinger, who is priced as a heavy underdog against Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers.
But is there value in backing Clevinger, who's looking to snap a three-game losing streak? Let's dive into the odds and find a pick for White Sox vs. Dodgers.
Chicago White Sox
Lop off a horrific 7-21 start to the season, and shockingly enough, the White Sox start to look a little more respectable with a record above .500.
Whether it will continue or not remains to be seen, but several of their starting pitchers have stabilized at the same time.
Mike Clevinger has pitched to an ERA of 4.05 with a WHIP of 1.23 over his last six starts. Such success likely will not continue, but any kind of results near league average would actually be a huge win for this White Sox staff.
Clevinger owns a 4.73 xERA and 5.40 xFIP. His Stuff+ rating is actually still excellent at 105, but a lack of command and poor sequencing have been concerns. However, his command has been better recently, and the amount of free passes is regressing.
Offensively, the White Sox have been significantly better versus left-handed pitching this season, which is the same story we saw in 2022. They've hit to a 101 wRC+ and .318 wOBA against lefties this year compared to near-league bottom results against right-handers.
Los Angeles Dodgers
With help from a favorable strike zone, Clayton Kershaw terrorized the Reds last time out with zero earned runs across seven innings. He has pitched to a 3.42 ERA over his last five outings, which is right on par with his season xERA of 3.40.
Kershaw's expected rates have spiked over the last 100 at-bats, although that could be in part to a tough slate of opponents. His stuff still rates very well with a Stuff+ rating of 108, and beyond that, there's obviously an elite understanding of sequencing and how to generate outs.
Offensively, the Dodgers remain dominant across the majority of splits. They currently have all of their top dogs in strong form, which includes an incredible run from Mookie Betts, who's hitting .310 with two home runs and five RBIs over the last seven games.
They own a wRC+ mark of 113 against right-handed pitching with a wOBA of .337.
White Sox vs Dodgers Betting Pick
For two consecutive seasons, the White Sox own significantly better splits versus left-handed pitching. That trend makes sense, as they have a couple of clear lefty killers.
Oddsmakers aren't giving them much of a chance to generate anything off of Kershaw, whose earned run total is set at 1.5 and juiced to just -125.
That makes me believe this is a good time to sell high on Kershaw. The over on that earned run prop could be worth a look if you want something a little safer, but at +225, I've got my eyes on the White Sox winning the first five innings.
Clevinger is not a pitcher I want to back at all. If he blew up early, it would not be overly surprising. But +225 is too long for a first five number here.
Pick: White Sox F5 +225 |
