The San Francisco Giants host the Toronto Blue Jays on July 8, 2026. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 3:45 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-BA.
The Blue Jays are favored by -110 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Giants are -110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Blue Jays vs Giants prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Blue Jays vs Giants Prediction
- Blue Jays vs Giants Pick: Under 7 (Play to 6.5)
My Blue Jays vs Giants best bet is on the run total under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Blue Jays vs Giants Odds
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -196 | 7 +102o / -123u | -110 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +165 | 7 +102o / -123u | -110 |
- Blue Jays vs Giants moneyline: Blue Jays -110, Giants -110
- Blue Jays vs Giants over/under: 7 (+102o / -123u)
- Blue Jays vs Giants spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+165), Giants +1.5 (-196)
Blue Jays vs Giants Probable Pitchers
| RHP Dylan Cease (TOR) | Stat | RHP Logan Webb (SFG) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | W-L | 5-6 |
| 3.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.9 |
| 2.79/2.88 | ERA / xERA | 3.66/3.99 |
| 2.26/2.62 | FIP / xFIP | 3.3273.56 |
| 25.7% | K-BB% | 14.1% |
| 44.0% | GB% | 50.9% |
| .326 | BABIP | .290 |
| 108 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 99 | Location+ | 105 |
Blue Jays vs Giants Pick, Betting Analysis
In a bumpy year for Toronto, Dylan Cease is a consistent bright spot. The highly paid free-agent prize owns a dazzling 2.79 ERA, 2.88 xERA, and 2.26 FIP. He's a top-three contender for AL CY Young if the season ended today.
When you flip on that BaseballSavant page, it's filled with dark red circles. He gets a ton of swings and misses, ranking in the 99th percentile in strikeout rate and the 97th in whiff rate. Plus, he ranks in the 90th percentile in average exit velocity and barrel rate, which shows Cease is more than just a strikeout pitcher.
The "World Series hangover" seems to be in full effect for Toronto's offense, which ranks dead last with a 70 wRC+ over its past 20 games. It's been a season-long struggle for the Blue Jays, as they rank 25th in wRC+ in 92 games.
The only real "star" in the Blue Jays lineup is Vlad Guerrero Jr., but he's been a below-league-average bat this year. He has a 96 wRC+ with just four homers. He's supposed to be Toronto's engine; instead, he's the anchor.
That brutal offense carried into the series opener, as the Blue Jays mustered just one run in a 10-1 loss.
Manager John Schneider will need a pristine pitching effort in this day game in the Bay Area. Cease can provide the goods, and he can hand the ball off to Jeff Hoffman and stud closer Louis Varland in the latter stages.
The Giants also have their ace, Logan Webb, on the mound to oppose Cease. Webb is fresh off one of the worst outings of his long MLB career, giving up seven runs in three innings to the Rockies, but it was at Coors!
I'd call this an up-and-down year for Webb, who has a 3.66 ERA, a 3.98 xERA, and a 3.31 FIP. He was one of the best pitchers in baseball in June, posting a 0.71 ERA over 38 innings while pitching 7+ innings in all five of his outings.
The attack for Webb remains simple: He wants to induce weak contact on the ground from hitters while giving his team seven or eight innings. Webb ranks in the 89th percentile in groundball rate and 75th in barrel rate. With the Blue Jays' DNA of putting the ball in play, that could work in Webb's favor.
San Francisco's offense is on fire of late, ranking 11th in MLB with a 108 wRC+ since June 15th.
Heliot Ramos has given the Giants a boost of late, hitting four homers in his nine games. Plus, Rafael Devers is on a hot streak, crushing nine homers and posting a 208 wRC+ in that span.
That's what makes Devers such a perplexing player. When he's hitting, very few are better than him. However, you never know when the good Devers will show up.
The total is low for this game, at 7 runs. And I value both Webb and Cease and think this will be a pitcher's duel. The Blue Jays' offense could fall to Webb's sinker pretty easily, and Cease is so tough to hit. The first team to two runs could be the winner in this contest.
Pick: Under 7 (Play to 6.5)
