We’re going to be trying something different at Action Network this season.
Minor League baseball is an inefficient market. I’ve been betting on Triple-A ball since 2021, and the market has become widely available enough to where I was able to provide picks to my subscribers last season — I went a documented 112-81-8 (58%) for a 51.7-unit profit.
You can still get most of my Triple-A picks over at WagerTalk, but I’m going to start publishing an Minor League baseball column here at Action Network on Tuesdays and Fridays, previewing the week and weekend ahead while providing some actionable insights.
Minor League Baseball Best Bets: How To Bet on Triple-A
The first thing you need to understand about exploiting the Triple-A market is that it’s still a developmental league.
The players range from MLB-ready prospects to 30-plus-year-old journeymen trying to make it back to the show. You also have a handful of guys who likely top out at Triple-A but are good for organizational depth.
It’s also worth mentioning that 14 players on the Triple-A roster are also on the MLB 40-man roster, and these guys are constantly moving up and down from the big leagues.
All this makes each roster dynamic and volatile.
Bookmakers track the big names (e.g., Konnor Griffin) but can’t keep up with all the roster moves on a day-to-day basis. They also struggle to track the “developmental” aspect of everyone needing to play.
Lineups will look different day to day, and that’s primarily where I find my edge. This edge will become more pronounced as the season progresses, as I have a much greater bias toward in-season data and need a larger sample size to detect actionable wagers.
But since we have some in-season data, it’s time to start firing.
It’s worth noting that the Triple-A series consists of weekly six-game series that run Tuesday through Sunday. Additionally, every game is televised on MiLB.TV, which you can get as part of your MLB.TV subscription or directly at milb.com.
Indianapolis Indians @ Omaha Storm Chasers
Friday, 7:35 PM ET
Indianapolis is 1-2 against Omaha so far this week, but the Indians were +250 in yesterday’s win and have been an underdog in every game thus far, so I think it’s fair to call this one a wash.
The books have made it clear where they stand on Indianapolis.
The Indians are 5-13 and lost what was by far the best player in Triple-A when Konnor Griffin quickly got the call to the big leagues by Pittsburgh. Certainly, Griffin matters, but this Indianapolis team has too much talent to be treated as a bottom option.
Rafael Flores and Jhostynxon Garcia haven’t hit their potential yet. There’s a trio of high upside guys in Esmerlyn Valdez, Termarr Johnson, and Alika Williams, and Ronny Simon has been a very solid player at the Triple-A level for a couple of years.
It looks like the Pirates want to keep Hunter Barco in the reliever role, so we might see him again on Sunday, which means he would follow Noah Davis to give Indianapolis a formidable counter to Stephen Kolek (who probably goes for Omaha on Sunday).
Friday and Saturday, we likely get Thomas Harrington and Wilber Dotel, respectively, which I think would give Indianapolis the pitching edge against whoever Omaha counters with.
I see some great opportunities to back Indianapolis as an underdog or on the +1.5 run line this weekend. Even with John Rave and Kam Misner back, I don’t think this Omaha team is very good.
Pick: Indianapolis Indians ML / +1.5
Oklahoma City Comets @ Albuquerque Isotopes
Friday, 8:35 PM ET
I like this Albuquerque roster, but I’m willing to sell high on the Isotopes, who have taken two of three from Oklahoma City to start the week but used up some of their better arms in the process.
Friday night might be the spot as River Ryan is slated to go for Oklahoma City.
Ryan has gotten hit hard in his first two starts of 2026, although he also has 10 strikeouts in seven innings pitched, and his stuff is electric. I fully expect results as he continues to work his way back from Tommy John surgery.
Ryan had a 1.33 ERA with the Dodgers in 2024 before needing surgery, which cost him all of 2025. He also posted a 1.86 ERA in 9 2/3 innings in Spring Training.
In any other organization, he’s probably on the Opening Day roster, but the Dodgers are so loaded they have the luxury of managing his workload and stashing him in Triple-A until they really need him.
This Albuquerque team can rake, but the ‘Topes swing and miss a lot, which probably sets up well for Ryan.
Neither team has announced its pitching plans for the weekend. I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see Cole Irvin make his second start of the week on Sunday for Oklahoma City, as he was accustomed to pitching twice per week in the KBO.
Irvin has looked great for Oklahoma City so far, and the Comets have a far deeper pitching staff top to bottom, so I think this sets up for them to have success in Albuquerque this weekend.
Pick: Oklahoma City Comets ML
Trigger's Top Triple-A Plays
- Indianapolis Indians ML or +1.5 (at Omaha, 7:35 p.m. ET)
- Oklahoma City Comets ML (at Albuquerque, 8:35 p.m. ET)
To keep up with any Minor League baseball bets I make, be sure to follow me in the Action Network App.
