Yankees vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 9, 2024

Yankees at Rays

10:50 pm • YES

New York Yankees

47-35

3 - 5

Tampa Bay Rays

47-36

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Pepiot			3.60	8-8
C.Rodon			3.96	16-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 47-35	-1.5+140	o7.5-118	-118
Rays 47-36	+1.5-166	u7.5-103	-101

Tuesday 10:50 p.m.

July 09, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

TB -2.5 (Live)-120

Over 10.5 (Live)+100

A.Judge o0.5 RBI+100

TB +1.5-165

$424.24

C.Rodon u17.5 Outs-107

0.93u

TB +103

0.77u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+100

R.Arozarena o0.5 HR+450

0.25u

R.Pepiot o5.5 Ks-115

0.87u

Featured Insight
The Yankees have scored three or more runs in an inning 56 times (7%) this season -- tied for third highest in MLB. Rays have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 6% of innings played this season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB.

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The Rays are 12-1 (.923) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

Isaac Paredes has a miss rate of only 12% on outside fastballs since last season -- seventh best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Carlos Rodon has located his fastball away 50% of the time since last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

33% of Yandy Diaz strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs in the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 52% of Carlos Rodon's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs in the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .120 (12-for-100) against Ryan Pepiot's elevated fastball since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .227 -- 100th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of just .180 (18 Total Bases / 100 ABs) on elevated fastballs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .393 -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 22-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Rays' 50 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	44-39	22-28	22-11	19-24	24-14
Yankees	39-43	22-20	17-23	35-39	4-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	34-46-3	19-28-3	15-18	14-26-3	19-19
Yankees	30-50-2	14-28	16-22-2	27-46-1	3-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	47-36	27-23	20-13	26-17	20-18
Yankees	47-35	25-17	22-18	45-29	2-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 7th	@TEX	L 2-13	+1.5 L	O 8	TEX +112
Jul 6th	@TEX	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TEX -108
Jul 6th	@TEX	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX -115
Jul 5th	@KC	W 10-8	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TB -112
Jul 4th	@KC	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8	KC -110

Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
LF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
CF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Luis Gil
SP
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
SP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Rodon, P	95	4	5	4
RJ.Cousins, P	31	2	5	0
RM.Tonkin, P	32	1.2	1	1
RT.Kahnle, P	3	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Rice, 1B	1-5	1	1	2
2J.Soto, RF	0-4	1	0	0
3A.Judge, DH	1-3	0	0	0
4A.Verdugo, LF	1-3	0	0	0
5G.Torres, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
6A.Wells, C	0-4	0	0	0
7A.Volpe, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Grisham, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9D.LeMahieu, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
9O.Cabrera, PR	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P	101	5.2	7	1
RK.Kelly, P	9	0.2	0	1
LC.Poche, P	12	0.2	1	1
RJ.Adam, P	8	1	1	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	1-3	1	0	0
3A.Rosario, DH	2-3	1	0	0
3B.Lowe, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3B.Lowe, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	1-3	1	1	3
5J.Siri, CF	1-4	1	0	0
6J.DeLuca, RF	1-4	0	0	1
7J.Caballero, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Walls, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	0-3	0	0	0