Twins vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 18, 2024
Twins at Rangers
6:35 pm • BSSWStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
T.Mahle | 4.97 | 0-1 | ||
P.Lopez | 4.08 | 15-10 |
Twins at Rangers Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Twins 0-0 | -1.5+153 | o7.5-115 | -108 | |
Rangers 0-0 | +1.5-184 | u7.5-107 | -111 |
Sunday 6:35 p.m.
August 18, 2024Globe Life FieldArlington
Twins vs. Rangers Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
96d ago
Last 30d: 29-38-0 (-8.7u)
C.Seager o1.5 Total Bases (Live)+100
1.5u
C.Seager o3.5 Total Bases (Live)+260
0.38u
Proptology _
96d ago
Last 30d: 15-14-0 (+5.1u)
C.Seager o1.5 Total Bases+100
3u
🔬4-6 with 3 home runs vs Pablo 👀
🔬Hit in 4/L5 sunday home games while homering in 3 of those 4 covers
🔬Pablo’s four seam placement favors high middle strikezone and his second most used pitch the sweeper finds the inside low corner often (both spots that Seager crushes those pitches
🔬Globe life has the 5th highest projected home run total today per ball park pal
Picks Office
96d ago
Last 30d: 95-109-0 (-22.0u)
MIN -105
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Pablo López has been pretty good for the Twins, particularly across his last nine starts, during which he's yielded two or fewer earned runs seven times. Now, with that 27 percent strikeout rate going with a 1.15 WHIP, he has a pretty sound performance in keeping runners off the bases effectively. This becomes critical against a Rangers team that has been struggling to get runners home from scoring position lately as well. It must be added that López has been very consistent, so a respectful 3.93 FIP for his career does suggest he'll shut off a Texas offense that ranks just 19th in the league in runs per game and has shown a weakness to quality right-handed pitching.
Tyler Mahle, on the other hand, has been less stable in his starts since coming back from Tommy John surgery. While his ERA of 2.79 through two starts may seem appealing, he has only pitched 9.2 innings, which could signal that he is still building up stamina. Moreover, a career ERA of 4.29 by Mahle and his WHIP of 1.307—at least somewhat higher than one would like—are symptoms of a trend to give up hits and walks to a high degree, something that could become devastating for a Twins lineup that has had success against right-handers as of late.
The bullpens also favor Minnesota, as the Twins' bullpen has been more reliable with a save percentage of 70.8 percent and a solid WHIP of 1.17 that is top-ten in relief efficiency. Meanwhile, the Rangers sit at an ERA near six for the relief staff in the last 10 games. This may be one area where the bullpens become pivotal in their decisions late in the game, especially if Mahle is unable to go deep.
Both clubs are stout in terms of defense, as each fielding percentage is inside the top 10 of MLB. But while Minnesota turns a very high rate of balls in play into outs—in fact, at 70.7 percent—along with their above-average ability to handle high-leverage situations, they give them the edge over their adversaries in this area.
The bottom line is that, with López on the mound, a more reliable bullpen, and an offense that has a chance to take advantage of any weaknesses Mahle may show, the Twins position themselves in pretty good shape. Some bigger trends that are working against the Rangers, like hitting in RISP situations or bullpen ERA, really help to move the Twins for a money-line bet.
Sean Zerillo
96d ago
Last 30d: 26-44-0 (-3.9u)
Under 8-105
0.5u
Flat to -108
Boomer Betz
96d ago
Last 30d: 159-156-3 (+37.2u)
TEX +106
1.06u
PRO Insights
Twins
MIN Insights
- Featured InsightThe Twins have scored 6.1 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB (9 games). The Rangers have allowed 6.8 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (6 games).
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Twins vs. Rangers Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Twins vs. Rangers Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Rangers are 33-47 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 32 of Rangers' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Twins vs. Rangers Injury Updates
Twins Injuries
- Jose MirandaIF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
- Trevor LarnachOF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
- Joe RyanP
Ryan is out with triceps
Out
Rangers Injuries
- Corey SeagerIF
Seager is out with hip
Out
- Tyler MahleP
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
- Evan CarterOF
Carter is out with back
Out
Twins vs. Rangers Box Score
Twins Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RP.Lopez, P | 107 | 6 | 3 | 0 | |
RJ.Alcala, P | 19 | 0.2 | 1 | 5 | |
RT.Richards, P | 13 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
RG.Jax, P | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RJ.Duran, P | 6 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1W.Castro, SS | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2J.Miranda, 3B | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3T.Larnach, DH | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3C.Vazquez, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3C.Vazquez, DH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4R.Jeffers, C | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
5M.Wallner, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6C.Santana, 1B | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
7M.Margot, CF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7R.Lewis, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7A.Martin, CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8M.Kepler, RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9K.Farmer, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9E.Julien, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9E.Julien, 2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rangers Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RT.Mahle, P | 61 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
RG.Garabito, P | 46 | 4 | 3 | 0 | |
RD.Robertson, P | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RK.Yates, P | 17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
LA.Chafin, P | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1M.Semien, 2B | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
2C.Seager, SS | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3J.Smith, 3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4A.Garcia, RF | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
5N.Lowe, 1B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6J.Jung, DH | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
7W.Langford, LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7T.Jankowski, LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8C.Kelly, C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9L.Taveras, CF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Twins vs. Rangers Odds Comparison
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Twins at Rangers Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Twins 0-0 | o3.5-130 | u3.5+100 |
Rangers 0-0 | o3.5-120 | u3.5-110 |