Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 19, 2024

Twins at Guardians

5:40 pm • BSN

Minnesota Twins

0-0

2 - 5

Cleveland Guardians

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8
C.Paddack			4.99	5-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5+170	o7.5-105	-103
Guardians 0-0	+1.5-193	u7.5-115	-116

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

May 19, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 7.5-115

MIN -105

1.05u

MIN +102

T.Bibee u16.5 Outs-120

1.2u

He’s under in 7/9 starts. Really struggled the 2nd/3rd time through the order (.960 and .875 OPS allowed, respectively), and against lefties (.913). Twins should have 6 lefties in the lineup today. Guardians bullpen is rested, and Bibee is at 4.09 pitches per PA (15th highest out of 124 qualifiers).

Under 7.5-108

0.5u

Featured Insight
Twins have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Guardians have scored three or more runs in an inning just 87 times (5%) since last season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Guardians have struck out just 17% over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB. Twins have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last week -- tied for second lowest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 13-74 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Carlos Santana has an OPS of just .713 since the 2022 season -- 11th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .507 (651 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .611 (33 Total Bases / 54 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 25% (38/152) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .328 (60-for-183) against Chris Paddack this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 -- second Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .827 (62 Total Bases / 75 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .526 -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 18th	MIN	W 11-4	+1.5 W	O 7	CLE +102
May 17th	MIN	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -130
May 16th	@TEX	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +160
May 15th	@TEX	W 7-4	-	O 9	CLE +101
May 14th	@TEX	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 9	CLE -112

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Paddack, P		100	8	6	2
RJ.Duran, P		13	0.2	0	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Larnach, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5R.Jeffers, C	0-3	0	0	0
5B.Buxton, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5B.Buxton, CF	0-0	1	0	0
6W.Castro, CF	1-4	0	0	0
6W.Castro, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Kirilloff, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Vazquez, C	0-0	0	0	0
8C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Miranda, 3B	1-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	95	7	8	1
RH.Gaddis, P	11	1	0	0
RE.Clase, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Freeman, CF	1-4	1	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	1-3	2	1	2
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	1-4	1	1	3
5W.Brennan, LF	1-4	1	1	3
6E.Florial, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, RF	0-0	0	0	0
7G.Arias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	0