Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 19, 2024

Twins at Guardians

5:40 pm • BSN

Minnesota Twins

0-0

2 - 5

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8
C.Paddack			4.99	5-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5+170	o7.5-105	-103
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-193	u7.5-115	-116

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

May 19, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

MIN +102

T.Bibee u16.5 Outs-120

1.2u

He’s under in 7/9 starts. Really struggled the 2nd/3rd time through the order (.960 and .875 OPS allowed, respectively), and against lefties (.913). Twins should have 6 lefties in the lineup today. Guardians bullpen is rested, and Bibee is at 4.09 pitches per PA (15th highest out of 124 qualifiers).

Under 7.5-108

0.5u

Featured Insight
Twins have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Guardians have scored three or more runs in an inning just 87 times (5%) since last season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Guardians have struck out just 17% over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB. Twins have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last week -- tied for second lowest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 13-74 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Carlos Santana has an OPS of just .713 since the 2022 season -- 11th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .507 (651 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .611 (33 Total Bases / 54 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 25% (38/152) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .328 (60-for-183) against Chris Paddack this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 -- second Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .827 (62 Total Bases / 75 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .526 -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 18th	MIN	W 11-4	+1.5 W	O 7	CLE +102
May 17th	MIN	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -130
May 16th	@TEX	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +160
May 15th	@TEX	W 7-4	-	O 9	CLE +101
May 14th	@TEX	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 9	CLE -112

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Paddack, P		100	8	6	2
RJ.Duran, P		13	0.2	0	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Larnach, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5R.Jeffers, C	0-3	0	0	0
5B.Buxton, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5B.Buxton, CF	0-0	1	0	0
6W.Castro, CF	1-4	0	0	0
6W.Castro, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Kirilloff, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Vazquez, C	0-0	0	0	0
8C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Miranda, 3B	1-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	95	7	8	1
RH.Gaddis, P	11	1	0	0
RE.Clase, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Freeman, CF	1-4	1	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	1-3	2	1	2
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	1-4	1	1	3
5W.Brennan, LF	1-4	1	1	3
6E.Florial, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, RF	0-0	0	0	0
7G.Arias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	0