Tigers vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 21, 2024

Tigers at Twins

6:10 pm • BSDET

Detroit Tigers

14-10

6 - 1

Minnesota Twins

8-15

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Varland			7.61	0-6
C.Mize			4.49	2-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 14-10	+1.5-205	o8-109	+104
Twins 8-15	-1.5+170	u8-110	-123

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

April 21, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

DET +105

1.05u

Under 8-105

0.5u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
The Tigers have allowed just 3.0 runs per game on the road this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (9 games). The Twins have scored just 2.5 runs per game at home this season -- second lowest in MLB (6 games).

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Featured Insight
Twins have a strikeout rate of 30% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB. Tigers left-handed hitters have struck out 32% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB.

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MLB Best Bets: Sunday's Expert Picks
Action Network•
Apr 21, 2024 UTC

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The Twins are 19-56 (.253) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .144.

Javier Baez has an OPS of just .625 since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Jason Adam has allowed an OPS of just .543 (493 PAs) since the 2022 season -- seventh best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

43% of Edouard Julien strikeouts are looking since last season -- sixth highest among hitters with at least 271 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. 43% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since last season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .297 (11-for-37) against Louie Varland with two-strikes this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .168 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (2/22) against Casey Mize on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 4-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Twins' 10 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	10-13	6-4	4-9	8-8	2-5
Tigers	14-10	9-3	5-7	7-4	7-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	8-12-3	3-6-1	5-6-2	6-8-2	2-4-1
Tigers	10-12-2	4-6-2	6-6	4-6-1	6-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	8-15	5-5	3-10	7-9	1-6
Tigers	14-10	9-3	5-7	8-3	6-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 20th	DET	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7	MIN -142
Apr 20th	DET	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 7	DET -158
Apr 17th	@BAL	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL +102
Apr 16th	@BAL	L 3-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL +141
Apr 15th	@BAL	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 9	BAL +113

Alex Cobb
P
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Manuel Margot
OF
Margot is out with knee
Out
Jake Rogers
C
Jake Rogers (oblique) has been scratched Tuesday.
Out
Parker Meadows
OF
Meadows is out with arm
Out
Wenceel Perez
OF
Perez is out with back
Out
Jose Urquidy
P
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Ty Madden
P
Madden is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

Royce Lewis
IF
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out
Pablo Lopez
P
Lopez is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Mize, P	90	6	4	0
LT.Holton, P	20	2	1	0
RA.Faedo, P	23	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Greene, LF	1-3	3	0	0
2M.Canha, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3S.Torkelson, DH	2-4	2	0	2
4K.Carpenter, RF	1-4	0	0	1
5M.Vierling, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Kennedy, 2B	1-2	1	1	3
7P.Meadows, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Baez, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Varland, P	74	2.2	2	4
RC.Sands, P	23	1.1	2	0
RM.Bowman, P	30	2	2	0
RJ.Jackson, P	32	2	2	1
LC.Thielbar, P	22	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
2T.Larnach, RF	0-2	0	0	0
2M.Margot, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2M.Margot, RF	0-1	0	0	0
3B.Buxton, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4A.Kirilloff, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5A.Martin, LF	1-4	1	1	1
6W.Castro, SS	1-3	0	0	0
7C.Santana, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8K.Farmer, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	1-3	0	0	0
9R.Jeffers, PH	0-1	0	0	0