Reds vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 16, 2024

Reds at Brewers

6:10 pm • BSWI

Cincinnati Reds

0-2

4 - 5

Milwaukee Brewers

3-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			4.29	12-6
F.Montas			5.01	4-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-2	+1.5	PK-103	o9.5-103	+100
Brewers 3-6	u9	PK-111	u9.5-116	-137

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

June 16, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

Over 9-120

1.2u

MIL -125

0.5u

Bet to -130

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 32% against the Reds RPs over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Brewers hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% over the last two weeks -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have scored three or more runs in an inning 228 times (7%) since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB. Reds have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB.

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Our MLB Best Bets for Sunday
Action Network Staff•
Jun 16, 2024 UTC

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The Brewers are 7-22 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.

The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 10-1 (.909) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

32% of Elly De La Cruz strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for 11th highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 39% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 21% (61/290) against Colin Rea this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 24% (104/439) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (89/500) against Colin Rea this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- third Percentile.

Frankie Montas has walked 14 of 102 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	97-65	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 15th	CIN	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 9	MIL -135
Jun 15th	CIN	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	CIN -170
Jun 12th	TOR	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	MIL -125
Jun 12th	TOR	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TOR +101
Jun 11th	TOR	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIL -125

Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out

Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Reiver Sanmartin
RP
Sanmartin is out with elbow
Out
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Montas, P	89	5	5	3
RL.Sims, P	22	1	3	1
LS.Moll, P	7	0.1	0	0
RN.Martinez, P	19	1.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	2-3	3	1	1
3J.Candelario, 3B	1-3	0	0	1
3J.Hurtubise, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3S.Espinal, 3B	1-1	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5J.Fraley, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Martini, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Maile, C	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Stephenson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8T.Stephenson, C	0-1	0	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, LF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	92	6	6	2
RE.Paredes, P	8	0.1	0	0
LJ.Koenig, P	8	0.2	1	1
RJ.Payamps, P	11	1	1	0
RT.Megill, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	2-4	1	0	0
3C.Yelich, DH	1-3	1	0	1
4W.Adames, SS	1-4	1	1	3
5J.Bauers, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Ortiz, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
7S.Frelick, RF	2-4	0	0	0
8J.Chourio, LF	0-4	0	0	1
9B.Perkins, CF	0-2	0	0	0