Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 30, 2024

Red Sox at Tigers

10:40 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

40-42

7 - 5

Detroit Tigers

51-31

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Mize			4.49	2-6
T.Houck			3.12	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 40-42	-1.5+135	o8.5-112	-120
Tigers 51-31	+1.5-163	u8.5-108	-101

Friday 10:40 p.m.

August 30, 2024

Comerica ParkDetroit

Under 9-117

0.5u

Flat to-127 or 8 (-105)

R.Devers o2.5 RBI+1540

0.25u

10% boost

R.Devers o1.5 RBI+475

0.5u

R.Devers o0.5 RBI+129

Under 9-118

. under when home team shutout Overall: 437-312-42,58% (ROI:12%) Season:26-22-2,54% (ROI:5%)

T.Houck o1.5 BB-123

Houck is over this line in 8/L9, with 25 BB in 51 IP. The Tigers don’t have a high walk rate, but 6/L10 RHP are still over this line. And the matchup plays into Houck’s worse splits - an away game, and should see 6 lefties.

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-104

0.52u

Unofficial please don't tail me lol

DET +116

0.51u

Bet to +114

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Featured Insight
Tigers hitters have an OPS of .833 over the last week -- fourth best in MLB. Red Sox RPs have allowed an OPS of .865 (110 PAs) over the last week -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Tigers are 11-46 (.193) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

Riley Greene has a miss rate of only 9% on inside fastballs this season -- 11th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Tanner Houck has located his fastball inside 46% of the time this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .600 (9 GB hits out of 15 GBs) against Beau Brieske with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .254 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 20-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Tigers' 42 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	45-38	25-17	20-21	30-23	15-13
Red Sox	41-42	19-21	22-21	23-28	18-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	41-38-4	16-23-3	25-15-1	25-25-3	15-12-1
Red Sox	38-44-1	16-23-1	22-21	22-28-1	16-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	51-32	28-14	23-18	37-16	14-14
Red Sox	40-43	22-18	18-25	26-25	14-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 29th	LAA	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 9	LAA -180
Aug 29th	LAA	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	DET -162
Aug 27th	LAA	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9.5	DET -155
Aug 27th	@CWS	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 9	DET -135
Aug 25th	@CWS	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 9	DET -161

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Alex Cobb
SP
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Matt Vierling
CF
Vierling is out with shoulder
Out
Jose Urquidy
SP
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	95	6	6	0
LB.Bernardino, P	23	1.1	3	3
RJ.Slaten, P	5	0.2	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	18	1	2	1
RC.Martin, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	3-5	2	1	1
2W.Abreu, RF	2-4	0	0	1
3T.Casas, 1B	0-5	0	0	1
4R.Devers, DH	0-5	0	0	0
5T.O'Neill, LF	0-3	1	0	0
6C.Wong, C	2-4	1	1	2
7N.Sogard, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
8M.Yoshida, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Gasper, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-4	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Mize, P	85	6	4	4
RB.Hanifee, P	11	1	0	0
LS.Guenther, P	8	1	1	0
RS.Miller, P	20	1.1	2	1
LT.Holton, P	20	0.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Meadows, CF	1-3	0	0	0
1A.Ibanez, PH	0-1	1	0	0
1A.Ibanez, 2B	0-1	1	0	0
1A.Ibanez, LF	0-1	1	0	0
2R.Greene, LF	0-3	1	0	0
2R.Greene, CF	0-3	1	0	0
3M.Vierling, RF	2-5	1	0	0
3M.Vierling, CF	2-5	1	0	0
3M.Vierling, RF	2-5	1	0	0
4K.Carpenter, DH	1-4	1	1	4
5J.Jung, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
6S.Torkelson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, RF	2-4	1	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, SS	2-4	1	0	0
8T.Sweeney, SS	0-2	0	0	0
8R.Kreidler, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8R.Kreidler, SS	0-1	0	0	0
8C.Keith, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8C.Keith, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	1-3	0	0	1