Red Sox vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - July 11, 2026

Red Sox at Mets

8:10 pm • Fox Sports 1
4 - 0
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Freddy Peralta logoF.PeraltaNew York Mets logo4.665-8
Eduardo Rivera logoE.RiveraBoston Red Sox logo0.000-0

Red Sox at Mets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox
45-48
+1.5
+1.5-175
o7.5-119
+120
Mets
40-56
u8.5
-1.5+145
u7.5-102
-144
location pinSaturday 8:10 p.m.
July 11, 2026
Citi FieldFlushing, Queens
Red Sox vs. Mets Expert Picks
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 177-181-15 (-20.0u)
Over 4.5 (F5)-105
1u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 410-425-9 (-13.4u)
BOS o3.5-120
1u
F.Peralta u17.5 Outs-119
1u
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 26-26-3 (+16.6u)
E.Wagaman u0.5 Hits+140
1.4u
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.57 hits for Eric Wagaman compared to 0.83 hits implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 57% of the time, resulting in a 36% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $36.03. This play is good down to at least -106. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
Adam Kaufman
Adam Kaufman
Last 30d: 112-118-3 (-18.7u)
BOS +128
1.28u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 134-139-6 (-6.8u)
NYM -145
0.73u
Bet to -165

Red Sox vs. Mets Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Red Sox vs. Mets Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Red Sox

Public

49%

Bets%

51%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets
39-5719-2920-2825-3714-20
Red Sox
43-5017-2726-2324-3318-17

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Mets
45-46-526-18-419-28-130-29-315-17-2
Red Sox
42-47-417-24-325-23-127-27-315-19-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets
40-5621-2719-2931-319-25
Red Sox
45-4817-2728-2126-3118-17

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 10thBOSL 2-6-1.5 LO 7.5BOS -149
Jul 9thKCW 7-3-1.5 WO 9NYM -140
Jul 8thKCW 6-2-1.5 WU 9.5NYM -200
Jul 7thKCL 12-16-1.5 LO 8.5KC -143
Jul 6th@ATLW 7-6+1.5 WO 9NYM +105

Red Sox vs. Mets Injury Updates

Red Sox Injuries

  • Tanner Houck
    SP

    Houck is out with arm

    Out

  • Triston Casas
    1B

    Casas is out with knee

    Out

  • Kutter Crawford
    SP

    Crawford is out with wrist

    Out

Mets Injuries

  • Francisco Lindor
    SS

    Lindor is questionable with hand

    Questionable

  • Tylor Megill
    SP

    Megill is out with elbow

    Out

  • Justin Hagenman
    SP

    Hagenman is out with ribs

    Out

Red Sox vs. Mets Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Eduardo Rivera logoLE.Rivera, P643.230
Greg Weissert logoRG.Weissert, P12120
Jovani Moran logoLJ.Moran, P251.210
Justin Slaten logoRJ.Slaten, P170.220
Danny Coulombe logoLD.Coulombe, P37200
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Anthony Seigler logo1A.Seigler, 2B0-5000
Ceddanne Rafaela logo2C.Rafaela, CF1-5000
Wilyer Abreu logo3W.Abreu, RF0-3000
Caleb Durbin logo4C.Durbin, 3B2-3200
Masataka Yoshida logo5M.Yoshida, DH1-3112
Andruw Monasterio logo6A.Monasterio, 1B2-3112
Andruw Monasterio logo6A.Monasterio, SS2-3112
Jarren Duran logo7J.Duran, LF0-4000
Carlos Narvaez logo8C.Narvaez, C0-3000
Tsung-Che Cheng logo9T.Cheng, SS0-1000
Romy Gonzalez logo9R.Gonzalez, PH0-2000
Romy Gonzalez logo9R.Gonzalez, 1B0-2000
Mets Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Freddy Peralta logoRF.Peralta, P924.162
Huascar Brazoban logoRH.Brazoban, P120.210
A.J. Minter logoLA.Minter, P12120
Brooks Raley logoLB.Raley, P11100
Tobias Myers logoRT.Myers, P23202
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
A.J. Ewing logo1A.Ewing, CF0-4000
A.J. Ewing logo1A.Ewing, 2B0-4000
Juan Soto logo2J.Soto, LF0-3000
Francisco Lindor logo3F.Lindor, SS0-3000
Carson Benge logo4C.Benge, RF0-3000
Jorge Polanco logo5J.Polanco, DH1-4000
Eric Wagaman logo6E.Wagaman, 1B0-3000
Francisco Alvarez logo7F.Alvarez, C2-3000
Brett Baty logo8B.Baty, 3B0-3000
Zack Short logo9Z.Short, 2B0-2000
Bo Bichette logo9B.Bichette, PH0-0000
Tyrone Taylor logo9T.Taylor, PR0-1000
Tyrone Taylor logo9T.Taylor, CF0-1000

Red Sox vs. Mets Odds Comparison

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Red Sox at Mets Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Red Sox
45-48
N/A
N/A
Mets
40-56
N/A
N/A