Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2024

Red Sox at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

1-2

6 - 5

Toronto Blue Jays

10-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Francis			3.30	8-5
B.Bello			4.49	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-2	-1.5	+1.5-200	o8+100	+109
Blue Jays 10-7	u8.5	-1.5+164	u8-118	-128

Tuesday 11:07 p.m.

September 24, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

BOS +105

3.15u

TOR -0.5 (F5)+105

1.58u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+105

B.Francis u5.5 Ks+125

1.25u

TOR -125

TOR -130

1.3u

Johnny

J.Duran u1.5 Total Bases+105

1.05u

TOR -120

0.6u

Bet to -133

TOR -121 (F5)

0.41u

Flat to -140

Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have a hard-hit rate of 41% this season -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 42% against the Blue Jays RPs this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Blue Jays had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score last season -- lowest in MLB. The Red Sox answered-back in just 29% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Blue Jays are just 61-32 (.656) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Tyler O'Neill has 10 home runs on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 15th most in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Brendon Little has thrown his curveball 32% of the time this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 85th Percentile.

Spencer Horwitz is batting just .167 on changeups this season -- tied for 10th worst among hitters with at least 234 total PA's-- eighth Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .178 (32-for-180) on Brayan Bello changeups this season -- tied for ninth best among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP-- 87th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 6% (1/16) against Bowden Francis in his last two starts -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .191 (93-for-486) against Bowden Francis since last season -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .246 -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	91-71	49-32	42-39	42-45	48-25
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	86-71-5	45-34-2	41-37-3	46-40-1	39-30-4
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	94-68	54-27	40-41	52-35	41-32
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 23rd	BOS	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	BOS -118
Sep 22nd	@TB	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB +112
Sep 21st	@TB	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB +120
Sep 20th	@TB	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	TB -125
Sep 19th	@TEX	W 4-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TOR +114

Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	75	4	4	2
RL.Sims, P	24	1	0	1
RJ.Slaten, P	17	1	1	0
RL.Garcia, P	7	1	0	0
RL.Guerrero, P	12	1	0	0
RC.Shugart, P	16	0.2	0	0
RC.Martin, P	15	1	1	0
LZ.Penrod, P	11	0.1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-5	1	0
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	1	0
2R.Gonzalez, 3B	1-5	1	0
2R.Gonzalez, LF	1-5	1	0
3T.Casas, 1B	1-3	0	0
3M.Gasper, PR	0-0	1	0
3M.Gasper, 1B	0-0	1	0
4T.Story, SS	2-5	1	1
5M.Yoshida, DH	0-4	0	1
5C.Wong, PR	0-1	0	1
5C.Wong, DH	0-1	0	1
5C.Wong, C	0-1	0	1
6V.Grissom, 2B	3-4	1	1
7W.Abreu, RF	0-2	1	0
7N.Sogard, PH	0-2	0	0
7N.Sogard, 3B	0-2	0	0
8D.Jansen, C	2-4	0	0
8T.O'Neill, PR	0-0	0	0
8E.Valdez, 3B	0-0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	0	2
9C.Rafaela, RF	1-4	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Francis, P	71	5	4	0
LE.Lucas, P	35	1.2	1	2
RR.Burr, P	17	0.1	1	0
LG.Cabrera, P	24	0.2	1	1
RC.Green, P	10	1.1	0	0
RT.Nance, P	13	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-5	0	0
2N.Lukes, LF	0-2	1	1
3V.Guerrero, DH	1-4	0	2
4S.Horwitz, 1B	0-4	0	0
4S.Berroa, PR	0-0	0	0
5A.Kirk, C	1-4	0	1
5J.Clase, PR	0-0	0	0
6A.Barger, 3B	1-4	0	0
7E.Clement, SS	0-4	0	0
8D.Schneider, 2B	0-3	2	0
9J.Loperfido, CF	0-2	1	0
9L.Jimenez, PH	1-1	1	1