Pirates vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 31, 2024

Pirates at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SN1

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

3 - 5

Toronto Blue Jays

29-29

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Berrios			3.60	16-11
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	+1.5-135	o8-119	+154
Blue Jays 29-29	-1.5+114	u8-102	-185

Friday 11:07 p.m.

May 31, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

J.Berrios u0.5 Ks (Live)+150

0.25u

Cruz 1st PA K

PIT +153

0.5u

TOR -1-125

1.6u

TOR o4.5-105

0.5u

Roof may be open (can't confirm) - Falter 4.96 SIERA/5.06 xERA/84 Stuff+ - TOR 105/99/124 wRC+ Hm/v LHP/L7 days - PIT bottom 5 def. & bottom 1/3 of league pen estimators L30 days

TOR -175

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .213 (39-for-183) against Blue Jays RPs with RISP this season -- fourth best in MLB. The Pirates are batting just .209 with RISP this season -- second worst in MLB.

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May 31, 2024 UTC

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The Pirates are just 84-13 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

Bo Bichette has a swing rate of 45% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .200 (6-for-30) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for fourth best among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

George Springer has struck out in just 9% of PA's over the last two weeks -- 14th lowest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 8% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third lowest among qualified SPs-- third Percentile.

Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 13% (12 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- second Percentile.

Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 7% (5 SO in 67 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 13-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Blue Jays' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	28-30	15-15	13-15	16-18	11-12
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	26-29-3	15-14-1	11-15-2	16-16-2	9-13-1
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	29-29	17-13	12-16	19-15	9-14
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 29th	@CWS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8	TOR -205
May 28th	@CWS	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	TOR -225
May 27th	@CWS	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	TOR -202
May 26th	@DET	L 11-14	-1.5 L	O 8	DET -133
May 25th	@DET	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8	DET -108

Jose Berrios
SP
Berrios is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Santander
RF
Santander is out with shoulder
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out
Addison Barger
RF
Addison Barger (elbow) scratched Sunday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	81	6	5	0
RC.Holderman, P	14	1	2	1
LA.Chapman, P	24	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	17	1	1	0
RH.Stratton, P	23	2	1	0
RC.Mlodzinski, P	36	2	3	0
RK.Nicolas, P	12	0.2	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	2-6	0	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-5	0	1
3C.Joe, RF	0-6	1	0
3C.Joe, 1B	0-6	1	0
4O.Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	1
6N.Gonzales, 2B	2-5	1	0
6M.Taylor, PR	0-0	0	0
6M.Taylor, CF	0-0	0	0
7R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	0	0
7E.Olivares, PH	0-1	0	0
7E.Olivares, RF	0-1	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	0-5	0	0
9J.Bae, CF	0-4	1	0
9J.Triolo, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Triolo, 2B	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	101	7	5	1
RC.Green, P	11	1	0	0
RY.Garcia, P	14	1	0	0
RN.Pearson, P	16	2	1	0
LT.Mayza, P	13	1.1	1	0
LG.Cabrera, P	19	1.2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Schneider, LF	1-6	1	1	2
2D.Jansen, C	0-4	1	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
4B.Bichette, SS	0-5	0	0	0
5J.Turner, DH	1-5	0	0	0
6G.Springer, RF	1-3	1	0	1
7I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7D.Vogelbach, PH	1-1	0	0	1
7C.Biggio, PR	0-3	2	0	0
7C.Biggio, 2B	0-3	2	0	0
8E.Clement, 3B	1-6	0	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	1-4	0	0	1