Pirates vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - August 1, 2024

Pirates at Astros

12:10 am • MLB Network
4 - 5
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Framber Valdez logoF.ValdezHouston Astros logo2.9115-7
Jake Woodford logoJ.WoodfordPittsburgh Pirates logo10.800-2

Pirates at Astros Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates
0-0
+1.5
+1.5+100
o8.5+100
+195
Astros
0-2
u8
-1.5-120
u8.5-118
-238
location pinThursday 12:10 a.m.
August 01, 2024
Minute Maid ParkHouston
Pirates vs. Astros Expert Picks
Mike Randle
Mike Randle
64d ago
Last 30d: 16-16-0 (+7.0u)
HOU -0.5 (F5)-150
1u
HOU -1.5-106
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
64d ago
Last 30d: 84-59-0 (+19.5u)
F.Valdez o18.5 Outs+150
1u
Home Framber is rounding into form. He’s over in 5/L6 starts at home. And overall, he’s pitching to a 2.73 ERA / 3.37 xFIP since June 1st. He gets the Pirates who are both below avg vs lefties (98 wRC+ and a .709 OPS) and ground ball pitchers (.686 OPS) this season. Plus, the Pirates are 28th in wRAA versus both the sinker and curveball - Framber’s two main pitches. DLC in the lineup doesn’t move the needle either.
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
64d ago
Last 30d: 47-48-1 (-10.4u)
HOU -215
0.47u
Stephen Keech
Stephen Keech
64d ago
Last 30d: 72-33-1 (+20.2u)
F.Valdez u7.5 Ks-155
1.2u
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
64d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
HOU -1.5+100
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
65d ago
Last 30d: 176-216-13 (-6.4u)
PIT +190
0.5u
Bet to +175
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
65d ago
Last 30d: 127-101-1 (+33.0u)
HOU -210
0.5u
BP4

PRO Insights

Pirates logo

Pirates

PIT Insights
  • Pirates logoPirates hitters have a groundball rate of 49% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Astros over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.
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Astros logo

Astros

HOU Insights
  • Astros logoAstros right-handed hitters have struck out just 13% against LHP over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB. Pirates have a strikeout rate of just 15% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- lowest in MLB.
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Pirates vs. Astros Previews & Analysis

  • Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card article feature image

    Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card

    Sean Zerillo
    Jul 31, 2024 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Pirates vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages

15%

Bets%

85%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
81-8040-4141-3956-6023-19
Pirates
88-7443-3845-3629-3459-39

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Astros
65-91-537-41-328-50-245-66-518-24
Pirates
77-81-440-38-337-43-131-30-246-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
88-7346-3542-3866-5020-22
Pirates
76-8639-4237-4435-2841-57

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 31stPITL 2-6-1.5 LU 8.5PIT -205
Jul 30thPITL 3-5+1.5 LO 7PIT +110
Jul 28thLADL 2-6-1.5 LU 8.5LAD -135
Jul 27thLADW 7-6-1.5 LO 8.5HOU -162
Jul 27thLADW 5-0-1.5 WU 8HOU -140

Astros vs. Pirates Injury Updates

Astros Injuries

  • Lance McCullers
    P

    McCullers is out with arm

    Out

  • Cristian Javier
    P

    Javier is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jose Urquidy
    P

    Urquidy is out with arm

    Out

  • Luis Garcia
    P

    Garcia is out with elbow

    Out

Pirates Injuries

  • Marco Gonzales
    P

    Gonzales is out with arm

    Out

  • Ke'Bryan Hayes
    IF

    Hayes is out with back

    Out

  • Johan Oviedo
    P

    Oviedo is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Endy Rodriguez
    C

    Rodriguez is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Pirates vs. Astros Box Score
Pirates Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Jake Woodford logoRJ.Woodford, P71530
Jalen Beeks logoLJ.Beeks, P90.211
Colin Holderman logoRC.Holderman, P70.101
Hunter Stratton logoRH.Stratton, P12100
Kyle Nicolas logoRK.Nicolas, P9110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Andrew McCutchen logo1A.McCutchen, DH1-5001
Bryan Reynolds logo2B.Reynolds, LF0-4000
Connor Joe logo3C.Joe, 1B0-3000
Rowdy Tellez logo3R.Tellez, PH0-1000
Rowdy Tellez logo3R.Tellez, 1B0-1000
Bryan De La Cruz logo4B.De La Cruz, RF2-4100
Joey Bart logo5J.Bart, C3-4112
Ji Hwan Bae logo5J.Bae, PR0-0000
Yasmani Grandal logo5Y.Grandal, C0-0000
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo6K.Hayes, 3B1-4100
Oneil Cruz logo7O.Cruz, SS0-4000
Jared Triolo logo8J.Triolo, 2B2-4101
Michael A. Taylor logo9M.Taylor, CF0-4000
Astros Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Framber Valdez logoLF.Valdez, P926104
Bryan Abreu logoRB.Abreu, P9100
Ryan Pressly logoRR.Pressly, P20100
Josh Hader logoLJ.Hader, P13110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jose Altuve logo1J.Altuve, 2B0-4000
Alex Bregman logo2A.Bregman, 3B1-4000
Yordan Alvarez logo3Y.Alvarez, LF0-4100
Yainer Diaz logo4Y.Diaz, C2-4101
Jeremy Pena logo5J.Pena, SS0-4100
Jon Singleton logo6J.Singleton, 1B0-2000
Mauricio Dubon logo6M.Dubon, PH1-1112
Mauricio Dubon logo6M.Dubon, 1B1-1112
Jake Meyers logo7J.Meyers, CF0-3000
Victor Caratini logo8V.Caratini, DH0-2000
Trey Cabbage logo8T.Cabbage, PR0-0000
Trey Cabbage logo8T.Cabbage, DH0-0000
Chas McCormick logo9C.McCormick, RF0-1100

Pirates vs. Astros Odds Comparison

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Pirates at Astros Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Pirates
0-0
o3.5+114
u3.5-145
Astros
0-2
o4.5-135
u4.5+105