Phillies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2026

Phillies at Pirates

8:05 pm • NBCS-PH
@
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Bubba Chandler logoB.ChandlerPittsburgh Pirates logo4.621-4
Cristopher Sanchez logoC.SanchezPhiladelphia Phillies logo2.114-2

Phillies at Pirates Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies
22-23
-1.5
-1.5-105
o8.5-104
-173
Pirates
24-21
u7.5
+1.5-115
u8.5-116
+145
location pinSaturday 8:05 p.m.
May 16, 2026
PNC ParkPittsburgh
thermometer image76°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image13Wind
Phillies vs. Pirates Expert Picks
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 188-159-4 (+13.0u)
C.Sanchez o18.5 Outs+115
0.43u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 69-99-3 (-24.3u)
Under 8.5-102
1.02u
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 32-50-5 (+10.3u)
B.Marsh Over0.5 Hitter Walks+260
1u
There may be some value on Brandon Marsh's walks prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.45 walks, and oddsmakers are implying 0.32. The model believes there is a 37% chance he records at least 1 walk, so there is value on the over at +260. This play is good down to at least +197. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 290-283-7 (+16.9u)
PHI o4.5-115
1.15u
C.Sanchez u7.5 Ks-151
1.51u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 261-348-20 (+2.1u)
PIT +0.5 (F5)+104
1.04u
#EV 2.21%
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 163-156-13 (-2.9u)
Over 8-110
0.55u
Bet to 8.5 (-110)
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 188-159-4 (+13.0u)
Under 8.5-125
0.63u

Phillies vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis

  • Phillies vs Pirates: System-Backed Total Prediction article feature image

    Phillies vs Pirates: System-Backed Total Prediction

    Action Network Staff
    May 16, 2026 UTC
  • +350, +400, +525, +750 PRO Props article feature image

    +350, +400, +525, +750 PRO Props

    Alex Kolodziej
    May 16, 2026 UTC
  • The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown & Bets for Saturday article feature image

    The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown & Bets for Saturday

    Matt Trollo
    May 16, 2026 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Phillies vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Phillies

Public

74%

Bets%

26%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
25-2013-1112-915-119-9
Phillies
13-327-176-1510-223-10

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pirates
25-19-116-89-11-116-108-9-1
Phillies
23-20-214-9-19-11-119-12-14-8-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
24-2113-1111-1016-107-11
Phillies
22-2312-1210-1118-144-9

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 15thPHIL 9-11-1.5 LO 8.5PHI -135
May 14thCOLW 7-2-1.5 WO 7.5PIT -177
May 13thCOLL 4-10-1.5 LO 8.5COL -185
May 12thCOLW 3-1-1.5 WU 7.5PIT -294
May 10th@SFL 6-7+1.5 WO 8SF +105

Pirates vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Pirates Injuries

  • Jake Mangum
    LF

    Jake Mangum scratched Thursday.

    Out

  • Jared Jones
    SP

    Jones is out with elbow

    Out

Phillies Injuries

  • Max Lazar
    RP

    Lazar is out with oblique

    Out

  • Andrew Painter
    SP

    Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.

    Questionable

  • Steward Berroa
    RF

    Berroa is out with shoulder

    Out

Phillies vs. Pirates Starting Lineups
Phillies Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Cristopher Sanchez logoLC.Sanchez, P4-22.111.28310.90
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Trea Turner logo1T.Turner, SS.231.281.3354
Kyle Schwarber logo2K.Schwarber, DH.237.365.64520
Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B.282.372.53410
Adolis Garcia logo4A.Garcia, RF.220.288.3464
Brandon Marsh logo5B.Marsh, LF.336.363.4834
Alec Bohm logo6A.Bohm, 3B.195.255.2823
Bryson Stott logo7B.Stott, 2B.222.264.3633
J.T. Realmuto logo8J.Realmuto, C.231.290.3081
Justin Crawford logo9J.Crawford, CF.276.343.4092
Pirates Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Bubba Chandler logoRB.Chandler, P1-44.621.4627.85
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Oneil Cruz logo1O.Cruz, CF.265.332.48110
Konnor Griffin logo2K.Griffin, SS.254.312.3873
Bryan Reynolds logo3B.Reynolds, LF.253.390.3864
Marcell Ozuna logo4M.Ozuna, DH.188.278.3195
Ryan O'Hearn logo5R.O'Hearn, RF.291.370.4627
Nick Gonzales logo6N.Gonzales, 3B.313.377.3610
Brandon Lowe logo7B.Lowe, 2B.252.352.56312
Jared Triolo logo8J.Triolo, 1B.250.313.2950
Henry Davis logo9H.Davis, C.151.263.2562

Phillies vs. Pirates Odds Comparison

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Phillies at Pirates Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Phillies
22-23
N/A
N/A
Pirates
24-21
N/A
N/A