Padres vs Reds Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - May 23, 2024

Padres at Reds

5:10 pm • BSOH

San Diego Padres

46-47

6 - 4

Cincinnati Reds

42-50

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Montas			5.01	4-8
M.Waldron			4.91	7-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 46-47	-1.5+140	o9.5+100	-113
Reds 42-50	+1.5-166	u9.5-120	-105

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

May 23, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

M.Waldron o14.5 Outs-180

0.56u

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases-105

$1.00

F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases-120

Over 9.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -110

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

0.5u

M.Waldron u15.5 Outs-146

0.5u

Over 9.5-105

0.5u

SD -105

SD -110 (F5)

0.5u

Montas’s best estimator is only 0.19 runs above Waldron’s worst. San Diego’s wRC+ against RHP is 44 points higher and they have the defensive edge,

Featured Insight
The Padres have scored 4.9 runs per game on the road since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB (187 games). The Reds have allowed 5.1 runs per game at home since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB (185 games).

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Featured Insight
Reds have allowed a run just 21% of the time after an opposing score __PresentPerfect_This Month__ -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB. The Padres have answered-back in just 14% of innings after an opponent scores __PresentPerfect_This Month__ -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Reds are just 9-15 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Jeremiah Estrada has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .721 since the 2022 season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .561 (624 PAs) since the 2022 season -- ninth best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 59% of Frankie Montas' fastballs (190/324) this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- 99th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .433 (13-for-30) against Matt Waldron this month (3 games) -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .239 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (99/395) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 26-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Reds' 47 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	49-43	23-24	26-19	15-12	34-30
Padres	50-43	26-22	24-21	19-19	31-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	52-39-1	26-21	26-18-1	18-9	34-29-1
Padres	40-52-1	20-27-1	20-25	14-23-1	26-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	42-50	21-26	21-24	16-11	26-38
Padres	46-47	25-23	21-24	21-17	25-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 22nd	SD	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	SD +105
May 21st	SD	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN +100
May 19th	@LAD	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	LAD +142
May 19th	@LAD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	LAD +160
May 18th	@LAD	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +160

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Waldron, P	90	5	7	2
RE.De Los Santos, P	23	0.2	2	2
LY.Matsui, P	27	1.1	1	0
RJ.Estrada, P	30	2	5	0
RR.Suarez, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	4-5	1	1
2F.Tatis, DH	1-5	1	1
3J.Profar, LF	1-4	1	0
4J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-4	0	1
5M.Machado, 3B	1-5	0	2
6D.Peralta, RF	3-4	1	0
6J.Azocar, RF	0-0	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	1-4	1	0
8H.Kim, SS	1-3	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-3	0	1
9L.Campusano, PH	0-1	1	0
9L.Campusano, C	0-1	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Montas, P	94	6	3	4
RF.Cruz, P	22	1	3	0
RL.Sims, P	10	1	0	0
RA.Diaz, P	10	1	2	0
LS.Moll, P	9	0.1	0	1
RB.Farmer, P	3	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Hurtubise, LF	1-2	1	0	1
1S.Fairchild, PH	0-2	0	0	0
1S.Fairchild, CF	0-2	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-5	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
3J.Fraley, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Ford, DH	1-5	0	0	0
5S.Steer, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
6N.Martini, RF	2-4	2	1	2
7J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Maile, C	1-4	0	0	0
9W.Benson, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	0-3	0	0	0