Padres vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - July 16, 2023

Padres at Phillies

5:35 pm • MLB Network

San Diego Padres

4-3

6 - 7

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Wheeler			3.61	13-6
S.Lugo			3.57	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	+1.5-158	o8.5-115	+124
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+132	u8.5-105	-146

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

July 16, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Under 9-110

1.1u

PHI -150 (F5)

0.75u

Bet to -155

Sunday NRFI Bet: Custom Pick for Wheeler, Ryan
Shayne Trail•
Jul 16, 2023 UTC

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The Phillies are 39-1 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Austin Nola is slugging just .192 this season -- worst among hitters with at least 136 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Zack Wheeler has allowed a SLG of just .320 vs right-handed batters this season -- eighth best among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

29% of Juan Soto strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 53% of Zack Wheeler's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (2,203/5,036) in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

10 of Seth Lugo's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since last season -- tied for 10th most among in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 89th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .489 (22-for-45) against Zack Wheeler on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .342 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 15th	SD	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 10.5	PHI -120
Jul 15th	SD	W 6-4	+1.5 W	O 9	PHI +139
Jul 14th	SD	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 9.5	SD -106
Jul 9th	@MIA	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 7	MIA +100
Jul 8th	@MIA	L 3-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIA -105

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	92	5.1	5	5
LT.Cosgrove, P	31	1.2	4	0
RN.Martinez, P	21	2	1	0
LJ.Hader, P	18	1	1	0
LT.Hill, P	10	1.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1H.Kim, 2B	2-6	2	1	1
2J.Soto, LF	0-4	0	0	1
3M.Machado, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5F.Tatis, PH	1-2	0	0	2
5F.Tatis, RF	1-2	0	0	2
6G.Sanchez, C	0-5	0	0	0
7M.Carpenter, DH	1-5	1	0	0
7M.Batten, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Batten, DH	0-0	0	0	0
8B. Dixon, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8B. Dixon, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8R. Odor, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8R. Odor, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	2-5	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P	101	7	7	3
LG.Soto, P	20	0.2	0	2
RY.Marte, P	6	0.1	0	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	9	1	1	0
LM.Strahm, P	19	1	1	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	19	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	1-5	1	1	2
2T.Turner, SS	1-5	1	0	0
3B.Harper, DH	2-5	1	0	1
4J.Realmuto, C	1-4	1	0	2
5B.Stott, 2B	2-5	1	1	1
6B.Marsh, RF	2-4	0	0	0
7D. Ellis, 3B	0-2	0	0	1
7A.Bohm, PH	1-2	0	0	0
7A.Bohm, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
7A.Bohm, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
8D.Hall, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8N.Castellanos, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8E.Sosa, 3B	0-0	1	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-4	1	0	0