Padres vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2024

Padres at Nationals

4:05 pm • MASN2

San Diego Padres

4-3

3 - 0

Washington Nationals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Corbin			5.62	6-13
D.Cease			3.47	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	-1.5-105	o9+102	-156
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-115	u9-121	+132

Thursday 4:05 p.m.

July 25, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

X.Bogaerts o0.5 HR+560

0.2u

X.Bogaerts o1.5 RBI+460

0.25u

X.Bogaerts o1.5 Total Bases+105

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

SD -166 (F5)

0.3u

Flat to -175

SD -178

0.56u

Under 8.5+102

3.06u

Featured Insight
Padres have struck out just 20% since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Nationals have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals hitters have a groundball rate of 53% over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Padres over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.

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The Padres are 15-12 (.556) after a road win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .456.

30% of Ha-seong Kim strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 32% of Craig Kimbrel strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (195/523) against Dylan Cease this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	SD	L 3-12	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SD -110
Jul 23rd	SD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 9.5	SD -118
Jul 21st	CIN	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH -113
Jul 20th	CIN	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8	WSH -102
Jul 19th	CIN	W 8-5	+1.5 W	O 9.5	WSH +114

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P		114	9	9	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Profar, LF	1-4	0	0
2D.Solano, 3B	2-4	1	0
3X.Bogaerts, 2B	1-3	1	0
4M.Machado, DH	0-4	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-3	1	0
6H.Kim, SS	2-4	0	3
7J.Merrill, CF	0-3	0	0
8L.Campusano, C	0-3	0	0
9B.Johnson, RF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	109	7	7	3
RD.Law, P	9	1	0	0
LJ.Ferrer, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Winker, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Yepez, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Wood, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	0-3	0	0	0
7L.Garcia, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8I.Vargas, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-3	0	0	0