Orioles vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 20, 2025

Orioles at Rays

4:10 pm • MASN2

Baltimore Orioles

43-54

5 - 2

Tampa Bay Rays

52-47

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 43-54	+1.5	+1.5-201	o9+100	+107
Rays 52-47	u8.5	-1.5+166	u9-122	-128

Sunday 4:10 p.m.

July 20, 2025

George M. Steinbrenner FieldTampa

Under 9-118

1.18u

This game opened at 8.5 and has since been bumped up to a 9 total, which is fair and close to my projections for this game. The reason I'm willing to take u9 is we've seen Tampa Bay grade out as a below-average offense against LHP this season. Against that split, they have a team wRC+ of just 91, 19th in the majors, meaning they've produced runs at a below-average clip against lefties. Trevor Rogers has been fantastic this season with a 1.53 ERA and it's backed by a 2.95 xERA. This isn't the easiest matchup on paper for Pepiot and is weirdly the side of the bet I'm more concerned about, but he's had some success against these Orioles (current roster has hit just .208 against him lifetime). His 4.31 FIP is backed by a 3.92 xFIP. This under was also popping on the Action projections and I'll bite here on both pitching staffs slowing down the bats.

Under 9-120

1.2u

Under 9-120

TB -1.5+170

TB -125

Orioles vs. Rays: Weather Angle for a Total Pick
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Jul 20, 2025 UTC
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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 26-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Rays' 55 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	49-50	23-32	26-18	20-28	28-21
Orioles	41-56	18-29	23-27	16-32	23-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	40-55-4	22-30-3	18-25-1	17-28-3	22-26-1
Orioles	41-53-3	24-21-2	17-32-1	23-23-2	17-29-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	52-47	30-25	22-22	29-19	22-27
Orioles	43-54	22-25	21-29	21-27	20-27

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 19th	BAL	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	TB -126
Jul 18th	BAL	W 11-1	-1.5 W	O 9	TB -128
Jul 13th	@BOS	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BOS +101
Jul 12th	@BOS	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 8	BOS +147
Jul 11th	@BOS	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	BOS -105

Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
LF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Jonny DeLuca
CF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Jorge Mateo
SS
Mateo is out with hamstring
Out
Zach Eflin
SP
Eflin is out with back
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Adley Rutschman
C
Rutschman is out with oblique
Out
Cade Povich
SP
Povich is out with hip
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	91	6	3	2
RY.Cano, P	7	1	1	0
RA.Kittredge, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Holliday, 2B	1-3	2	1	1
2J.Westburg, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
3G.Henderson, SS	1-4	0	0	2
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4R.O'Hearn, RF	1-4	1	1	1
5R.Laureano, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5R.Urias, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7T.O'Neill, DH	1-4	0	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	1-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P	93	6	8	5
RM.Englert, P
LI.Seymour, P	34	2	2	0
RB.Baker, P	15	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Simpson, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2H.Kim, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
3Y.Diaz, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
4J.Caminero, DH	2-4	0	0	1
5C.Morel, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Mangum, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Jansen, C	1-3	1	1	1
8J.Caballero, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9T.Walls, SS	0-3	0	0	0