Nationals vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 9, 2023

Nationals at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Washington Nationals

21-27

0 - 7

Philadelphia Phillies

28-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Lorenzen			3.58	5-7
M.Gore			4.42	7-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 21-27	+1.5-130	o9+100	+158
Phillies 28-18	-1.5+108	u9-120	-189

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

August 09, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Over 9-110

0.55u

Need -110

Featured Insight
The Phillies have scored 2.7 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- eighth-highest in MLB (276 games). The Nationals have allowed 3.2 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- second-highest in MLB (276 games).

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Featured Insight
Nationals Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 16% against RHP over the last week -- second-lowest in MLB. PhilliesRPs have a strikeout rate of just 22% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- third-lowest in MLB.

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The Nationals are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

31% of Bryson Stott strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 44% of MacKenzie Gore's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Lane Thomas is batting .500 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for fifth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of 69% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (44/93) over the last 30 days (4 games) -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .163 (17-for-104) against MacKenzie Gore's elevated fastball this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 11-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Phillies' 25 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	24-22	13-12	11-10	18-19	6-3
Nationals	24-24	11-11	13-13	2-5	22-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	20-25-1	13-12	7-13-1	17-19-1	3-6
Nationals	23-24-1	13-9	10-15-1	3-4	20-20-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	28-18	17-8	11-10	23-14	5-4
Nationals	21-27	10-12	11-15	3-4	18-23

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 8th	WSH	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	WSH -196
Aug 8th	WSH	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -292
Aug 6th	KC	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	PHI -215
Aug 5th	KC	W 9-6	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -239
Aug 4th	KC	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	KC -267

Paul DeJong
3B
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
1B
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
SP
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	83	5	5	6
RC. Abbott, P	41	2	4	1
LR.Garcia, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Meneses, DH	0-2	0	0	0
4D.Smith, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Ruiz, C	0-1	0	0	0
6J. Alu, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7I.Vargas, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8B. Rutherford, LF	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Call, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Lorenzen, P		124	9	5	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Turner, DH	2-4	0	0	0
2A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	1	0	1
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
4N.Castellanos, RF	2-4	2	2	3
5J.Realmuto, C	0-4	0	0	0
6R.Castro, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7W.Wilson, LF	1-1	3	1	1
8E.Sosa, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	0	0	1