Marlins vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - August 3, 2024

Marlins at Braves

11:20 pm • BSFL
4 - 3
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Grant Holmes logoG.HolmesAtlanta Braves logo3.562-1
Kyle Tyler logoK.TylerMiami Marlins logo5.400-2

Marlins at Braves Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins
0-0
+1.5+105
o9-110
+200
Braves
0-2
-1.5-125
u9-110
-245
location pinSaturday 11:20 p.m.
August 03, 2024
Truist ParkAtlanta
Marlins vs. Braves Expert Picks
Mike Randle
Mike Randle
141d ago
Last 30d: 20-17-0 (+1.3u)
ATL -1.5 (Live)-130
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
142d ago
Last 30d: 127-96-6 (+15.1u)
Under 9-110
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
142d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
G.Holmes o4.5 Ks-116
1.16u
I’ll take a stab here - Holmes is coming off a 5 IP (77 pitch) appearance where he rung up 8 Brewers. 29 Ks in 28.1 MLB IP, and 51 Ks in 41 AAA innings. Has swing and miss stuff (19 whiffs total the L2 appearances) and a 29.6% CSW% (for context, that’s in Grayson Rodriguez, Logan Gilbert, Joe Ryan territory). He now gets a Marlins squad with a 27% K% in away games vs righties the L30 days (356 PA), and have allowed 17/L21 righties making full starts over this line. 7 plus targets in the lineup today (everyone except Edwards and Fortes).
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
142d ago
Last 30d: 290-267-6 (+2.6u)
G.Holmes o4.5 Ks+108
1u
Projection lands at 5.74 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -114 giving us value at this number
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
142d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Under 9-105
0.5u
Bet to -115

PRO Insights

Marlins logo

Marlins

MIA Insights
  • Marlins logoMarlins RPs have a strikeout rate of 35% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Braves left-handed hitters have struck out 27% against RHP over the last two weeks -- tied for third highest in MLB.
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Braves logo

Braves

ATL Insights
  • Braves logoBraves have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season -- tied for lowest in MLB. The Marlins have scored in at least three different innings in just 36% of their games this season -- third lowest in MLB.
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Marlins vs. Braves Previews & Analysis

  • PRO Projections Huge Over/Under Edge Tonight article feature image

    PRO Projections Huge Over/Under Edge Tonight

    Action AI
    Aug 3, 2024 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Marlins vs. Braves Public Betting Percentages

5%

Bets%

95%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Braves
75-8735-4640-4160-7115-16
Marlins
77-8535-4642-392-1575-70

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Braves
58-94-1025-53-333-41-745-77-913-17-1
Marlins
85-66-1153-20-832-46-311-5-174-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Braves
89-7346-3543-3876-5513-18
Marlins
62-10030-5132-494-1358-87

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 2ndMIAW 6-3-1.5 WU 9ATL -258
Aug 1stMIAW 4-2-1.5 WU 8.5ATL -218
Jul 31st@MILW 6-2-1.5 WO 7.5ATL -120
Jul 31st@MILW 5-1-U 8.5ATL -108
Jul 30th@MILL 3-8-1.5 LO 8MIL +100

Braves vs. Marlins Injury Updates

Braves Injuries

  • Chris Sale
    P

    Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.

    Out

  • Ronald Acuna
    OF

    Acuna is out for season with knee

    Out for Season

  • Austin Riley
    IF

    Riley is out with hand

    Out

  • Spencer Strider
    P

    Strider is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Marlins Injuries

  • Sandy Alcantara
    P

    Alcantara is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Max Meyer
    P

    Meyer is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Eury Perez
    P

    Perez is out with elbow

    Out

Marlins vs. Braves Box Score
Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Kyle Tyler logoRK.Tyler, P732.223
Jesus Tinoco logoRJ.Tinoco, P141.120
Declan Cronin logoRD.Cronin, P34220
Anthony Bender logoRA.Bender, P11100
Andrew Nardi logoLA.Nardi, P13120
Calvin Faucher logoRC.Faucher, P18120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Xavier Edwards logo1X.Edwards, SS1-3100
Jake Burger logo2J.Burger, 1B2-5112
Jesus Sanchez logo3J.Sanchez, RF3-5002
Jonah Bride logo4J.Bride, DH0-4000
Kyle Stowers logo5K.Stowers, LF0-4000
Emmanuel Rivera logo6E.Rivera, 3B1-4000
Nick Gordon logo7N.Gordon, CF1-2000
Cristian Pache logo7C.Pache, PH0-1000
Cristian Pache logo7C.Pache, CF0-1000
Vidal Brujan logo8V.Brujan, 2B0-4000
Nick Fortes logo9N.Fortes, C2-4200
Braves Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Grant Holmes logoRG.Holmes, P704.243
Dylan Lee logoLD.Lee, P131.120
Pierce Johnson logoRP.Johnson, P23101
Jesse Chavez logoRJ.Chavez, P45230
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jorge Soler logo1J.Soler, RF0-4100
Austin Riley logo2A.Riley, 3B0-3000
Marcell Ozuna logo3M.Ozuna, DH1-4111
Matt Olson logo4M.Olson, 1B2-4101
Orlando Arcia logo5O.Arcia, SS0-2000
Travis d'Arnaud logo6T.d'Arnaud, C1-3000
Eddie Rosario logo7E.Rosario, LF1-4001
Jarred Kelenic logo8J.Kelenic, CF1-4000
Whit Merrifield logo9W.Merrifield, 2B1-4000

Marlins vs. Braves Odds Comparison

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Marlins at Braves Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Marlins
0-0
o3.5+100
u3.5-130
Braves
0-2
o5.5+100
u5.5-130