Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2024

Diamondbacks at Mariners

1:40 am • Fox Sports 1

Arizona Diamondbacks

26-24

1 - 3

Seattle Mariners

28-20

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Kirby			3.53	14-11
S.Cecconi			6.66	2-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 26-24	+1.5	+1.5-172	o7-122	+130
Mariners 28-20	u7.5	-1.5+145	u7+101	-155

Sunday 1:40 a.m.

April 28, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

J.Polanco o1.5 Total Bases+130

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives him an extreme advantage in this matchup and +ev bet with devig odds of -100 giving us value to this number

SEA -152

G.Kirby u5.5 Ks-135

1.35u

G.Kirby u5.5 Ks-115

1.15u

He’s only under in 2/5, but his overs all came against high K teams. ARI has the third lowest K% vs righties (18.9%), and have only been marginally worse in away games (19.3%). They also have the fourth lowest CSW%, which bodes well against Kirby, who doesn’t miss many bats to begin with (26th percentile whiff rate this year - was 27th last year).

ARI +140

0.5u

Bet to +132

Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a groundball rate of 48% this season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mariners hitters have a hard-hit rate of 46% over the last week -- second best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 48% against the Diamondbacks RPs over the last week -- fourth worst in MLB.

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MLB Player Props: Top 3 Bets For Saturday's Slate
Doug Ziefel•
Apr 27, 2024 UTC

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The Mariners are 68-14 (.829) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .783.

Eugenio Suarez has struck out in 31% of PA's since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Andres Munoz has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 13-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Mariners' 24 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	24-24	11-13	13-11	10-18	13-6
Diamondbacks	24-26	12-14	12-12	14-18	10-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	26-20-2	13-9-2	13-11	16-10-2	9-10
Diamondbacks	22-25-3	9-14-3	13-11	15-14-3	7-11

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	28-20	13-11	15-9	16-12	11-8
Diamondbacks	26-24	13-13	13-11	18-14	8-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	ARI	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SEA +110
Apr 25th	@TEX	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	SEA -118
Apr 25th	@TEX	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 9	TEX +124
Apr 24th	@TEX	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 9	SEA -118
Apr 22nd	@COL	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 11	SEA -120

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out
Logan Gilbert
SP
Gilbert is out with elbow
Out
Bryce Miller
SP
Miller is out with elbow
Out

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Cecconi, P	84	6	8	1
RB.Jarvis, P	14	0.1	1	2
LJ.Mantiply, P	9	1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	14	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.McCarthy, RF	1-3	0	1
2L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0
3K.Marte, 2B	0-4	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	0	0
5J.Pederson, DH	0-4	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	0-3	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	0-3	0	0
8C.Carroll, CF	0-3	0	0
9B.Alexander, SS	1-2	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Kirby, P	95	7	12	0
RR.Stanek, P	23	1	1	1
RA.Munoz, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rojas, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-3	0	0	0
3C.Raleigh, C	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Haniger, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5J.Polanco, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
6T.France, 1B	1-3	1	1	2
7M.Garver, DH	1-3	1	0	0
8L.Raley, LF	2-3	0	0	1
9D.Moore, SS	0-3	0	0	0