Diamondbacks vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2024

Diamondbacks at Astros

8:10 pm • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

39-39

5 - 11

Houston Astros

37-43

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Kikuchi			4.75	4-9
E.Rodriguez			5.04	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 39-39	+1.5-161	o8-109	+130
Astros 37-43	-1.5+135	u8-111	-155

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

September 07, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

HOU -160 (F5)

$1.00

Y.Alvarez o0.5 HR+350

0.25u

Under 8.5-115

.tsa Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams Overall: 391-263-27,60% (ROI:16%) Season:17-10-1,63% (ROI:22%) … good teams under after game went over Overall: 155-103-12,60% (ROI:16%) Season:16-7-0,70% (ROI:34%) .tsa wind in and hot unders Overall: 367-260-40,59% (ROI:13%) Season:19-25-1,43% (ROI:-16%)

E.Rodriguez u17.5 Outs-105

0.5u

HOU -160 (F5)

0.31u

Flat to -165

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Featured Insight
Astros have struck out just 20% this season -- third lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks RPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Ziefel's Top 3 MLB Player Props for Saturday
Doug Ziefel•
Sep 7, 2024 UTC

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The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.

The Diamondbacks are 40-30 (.571) on the road this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Diamondbacks are 22-13 (.629) after a road win this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

Eugenio Suarez struck out in 31% of PA's in the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Bryan Abreu had a strikeout rate of 35% in the 2022 season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .260 (130-for-500) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 -- 20th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .174 (26-for-149) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs since the 2022 season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: .272 -- 99th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his changeup for a strike just 47% (135/290) of the time this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 18-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 24 of Astros' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	37-43	19-22	18-21	8-18	28-24
Diamondbacks	44-34	23-18	21-16	18-19	25-15

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	41-35-4	24-16-1	17-19-3	15-11	25-23-4
Diamondbacks	33-42-3	16-24-1	17-18-2	13-23-1	19-19-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	37-43	20-21	17-22	11-15	25-27
Diamondbacks	39-39	24-17	15-22	22-15	16-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 7th	ARI	W 8-0	-1.5 W	O 7.5	HOU -165
Sep 5th	@CIN	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -161
Sep 4th	@CIN	L 5-12	-1.5 L	O 9	CIN -148
Sep 2nd	@CIN	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CIN -162
Sep 1st	KC	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	HOU -160

Lance McCullers
SP
Lance McCullers Jr. has been scratched Tuesday. Jason Alexander will start.
Out

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LE.Rodriguez, P	88	4	1	4
RD.Floro, P	32	1.1	1	5
LJ.Mantiply, P	8	0.2	1	0
RS.Cecconi, P	27	2	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2C.Carroll, RF	1-5	0	0	0
3R.Grichuk, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3P.Smith, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-5	0	0	1
5E.Suarez, 3B	2-4	2	1	1
6J.McCarthy, CF	2-4	1	0	0
7K.Newman, 2B	2-3	1	1	2
7L.Guillorme, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7L.Guillorme, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8G.Perdomo, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	1-3	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LY.Kikuchi, P	99	6	6	4
LC.Ferguson, P	15	0.2	0	1
RB.Abreu, P	5	0.1	0	0
RR.Blanco, P	42	2	5	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	3-5	3	1	1
2Y.Alvarez, DH	3-5	0	0	1
3Y.Diaz, 1B	1-5	1	0	1
4A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	1	0	2
5J.Pena, SS	2-5	1	1	3
6V.Caratini, C	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Meyers, CF	0-3	1	0	0
8B.Gamel, RF	0-3	1	0	0
9C.McCormick, LF	2-4	2	0	2