Cubs vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - September 28, 2023

Cubs at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Chicago Cubs

16-10

3 - 5

Atlanta Braves

10-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Smith-Shawver			4.26	1-0
M.Stroman			3.95	10-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 16-10	+1.5-162	o9.5-108	+120
Braves 10-14	-1.5+135	u9.5-112	-142

Thursday 11:20 p.m.

September 28, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

Over 9.5+100

A. Smith-Shawver u4.5 Ks-165

0.61u

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations over the last two weeks -- tied for fifth-lowest in MLB (102 games). The Braves have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations over the last two weeks -- tied for second-lowest in MLB (110 games).

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Featured Insight
Cubs Right Handed Hitters have struck out 23% against LHP since last season -- ninth-highest in MLB. Braves have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters since last season -- tied for highest in MLB.

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The Braves are just 2-4 (.333) after a loss as underdogs this season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.

Cody Bellinger had an OPS of just .654 last season -- 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Devin Williams allowed an OPS of just .472 (240 PAs) last season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Cody Bellinger struck out in 27% of PA's last season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Devin Williams had a strikeout rate of 40% last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 4-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Braves' 11 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	10-14	6-5	4-9	7-10	3-4
Cubs	14-12	7-6	7-6	7-5	7-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	11-10-3	5-5-1	6-5-2	9-7-1	2-3-2
Cubs	17-8-1	10-3	7-5-1	9-3	8-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	10-14	8-3	2-11	9-8	1-6
Cubs	16-10	8-5	8-5	9-3	7-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 27th	CHC	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL -148
Sep 26th	CHC	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL -148
Sep 24th	@WSH	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 8	ATL -295
Sep 24th	@WSH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	WSH -240
Sep 22nd	@WSH	W 9-6	-1.5 W	O 9	ATL -260

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with hamstring
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Drew Pomeranz
P
Pomeranz is out with elbow
Out
Justin Steele
P
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Stroman, P	38	2	2	2
RJ.Assad, P	41	2	3	1
LL.Little, P	30	1.2	2	0
RH.Wesneski, P	36	2.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	0-3	1	0
2N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	1	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-4	1	1
4C.Bellinger, 1B	1-4	0	0
5S.Suzuki, RF	3-4	0	2
6D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0
7J.Candelario, DH	0-3	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	0-4	0	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Smith-Shawver, P	64	3.2	2	1
RK.Wright, P	39	2.1	4	1
RJ.Jimenez, P	16	1	2	0
LA.Minter, P	21	1	1	1
RR.Iglesias, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	0	0	1
2O.Albies, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	3-4	2	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
5M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6E.Rosario, LF	0-4	1	0	1
7T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Harris, CF	1-4	1	0	1
9O.Arcia, SS	0-2	0	0	0