Brewers vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - September 5, 2023

Brewers at Pirates

10:35 pm • SportsNet PT

Milwaukee Brewers

34-20

7 - 3

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A. Jackson			4.33	1-3
B.Woodruff			2.28	5-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 34-20	N/A	N/A	N/A
Pirates 30-28	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

September 05, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT +150

While MIL has the SP edge, Jackson hasn't been too bad in limited work (3.68 SIERA, but 5.10 xERA) - PIT 88/89 wRC+ Hm/v RHP, MIL 81/87 - MIL has better pen est. L30 days, but only by 1/4 run

PIT +158

0.5u

Bet to +150

Under 4.5 (F5)-115

0.58u

Featured Insight
The Pirates are batting just .234 with RISP since last season -- second-worst in MLB. Opponents are hitting just .229 (238-for-1,041) against BrewersRPs with RISP since last season -- seventh-best in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have won 58% of their games at home since last season -- sixth-best in MLB. Pirates have won just 47% of their games at home since last season -- eighth-worst.

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MLB NRFI for Tuesday: Bet Woodruff & Bassitt
Shayne Trail•
Sep 5, 2023 UTC

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The Pirates are just 11-55 (.167) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has an OPS of just .701 since last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Devin Williams has allowed an OPS of just .481 (446 PAs) since last season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Andre Jackson has allowed an OBP of just .247 (81 PA's) vs left-handed batters this season -- tied for 7th best among in MLB; League Avg: .313 -- 92nd Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (20/65) against Andre Jackson this season -- 8th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- ninth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pirates' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12
Brewers	32-22	18-12	14-10	20-14	12-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2
Brewers	24-29-1	13-17	11-12-1	16-17-1	8-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14
Brewers	34-20	19-11	15-9	23-11	11-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 4th	MIL	W 4-2	-	-	-
Sep 3rd	@STL	L 4-6	-	-	-
Sep 2nd	@STL	W 7-6	-	-	-
Sep 2nd	@STL	W 4-2	-	-	-
Aug 31st	@KC	W 4-1	-	-	-

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Woodruff, P	97	7	6	0
LA.Chafin, P	15	1	1	0
LC.Andrews, P	5	0	0	3
RE.Peguero, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	0-3	1	1
2W.Contreras, C	0-3	1	0
3C.Santana, 1B	1-3	1	1
3R.Tellez, PH	0-1	0	0
3R.Tellez, 1B	0-1	0	0
4M.Canha, DH	1-4	0	1
5W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0
6S.Frelick, CF	2-3	1	0
7A.Monasterio, 3B	1-3	1	1
8B.Turang, 2B	1-3	1	1
9T.Taylor, RF	1-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA. Jackson, P	83	4.1	2	6
RT.Hatch, P	34	2.2	4	0
RH.Stratton, P	31	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Bae, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	1-3	1	0	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	1-4	1	1	3
5J.Suwinski, CF	0-2	0	0	0
5V.Capra, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Rivas, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6E.Rodriguez, C	1-4	0	0	0
7L.Peguero, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Palacios, LF	2-4	0	0	0
9M.Andujar, RF	0-4	0	0	0