Brewers vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - September 4, 2023

Brewers at Pirates

10:35 pm • SportsNet PT

Milwaukee Brewers

34-20

2 - 4

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Ortiz			4.78	5-5
C.Burnes			3.39	10-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 34-20	N/A	N/A	N/A
Pirates 30-28	N/A	N/A	N/A

Monday 10:35 p.m.

September 04, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT +166

1.66u

Bunres is a significant advantage, but PIT 88/89/99 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, MIL 81/87/78, while defense (actual LUs) & bullpens (L30 day estimators) are close enough.

The Pirates are just 11-55 (.167) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has an OPS of just .695 since last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Devin Williams has allowed an OPS of just .481 (446 PAs) since last season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Colin Selby has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (30/59) over the last 30 days (11 games) -- tied for 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 19% (11/59) against Colin Selby on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 30 days (11 games) -- 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pirates' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12
Brewers	32-22	18-12	14-10	20-14	12-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2
Brewers	24-29-1	13-17	11-12-1	16-17-1	8-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14
Brewers	34-20	19-11	15-9	23-11	11-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 3rd	@STL	L 4-6	-	-	-
Sep 2nd	@STL	W 7-6	-	-	-
Sep 2nd	@STL	W 4-2	-	-	-
Aug 31st	@KC	W 4-1	-	-	-
Aug 30th	@KC	W 6-3	-	-	-

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	105	6	7	4
LH.Milner, P	14	1	2	0
RB.Wilson, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	0-3	0	0
2W.Contreras, DH	1-4	0	0
3C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0
4S.Frelick, CF	1-3	1	0
5W.Adames, SS	0-2	1	0
6M.Canha, RF	1-3	0	0
7V.Caratini, C	1-3	0	1
8B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	1
9A.Monasterio, 3B	2-3	0	0
9R.Tellez, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Ortiz, P	84	6	4	2
RC.Mlodzinski, P	24	1	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	8	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	1	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	2-3	1	0	1
3J.Palacios, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Palacios, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Joe, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Williams, SS	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Suwinski, CF	2-4	1	1	2
5J.Suwinski, RF	2-4	1	1	2
6E.Rodriguez, C	1-4	0	0	0
7L.Peguero, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7L.Peguero, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Rivas, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Bae, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Bae, CF	0-3	0	0	0