Brewers vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - September 26, 2024

Brewers at Pirates

4:35 pm • BSWI

Milwaukee Brewers

34-21

5 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.25	11-12
A.Civale			5.07	2-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 34-21	-1.5	-1.5+140	o7.5-105	-120
Pirates 31-28	u8	+1.5-166	u7.5-115	+100

Thursday 4:35 p.m.

September 26, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

MIL -120

0.5u

A.Civale u4.5 Hits Allowed+120

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (319 games). The Pirates have scored just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (319 games).

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Sep 26, 2024 UTC

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The Brewers are 36-27 (.571) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Bryan De La Cruz has an OPS of just .691 since the 2022 season -- worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Devin Williams has allowed an OPS of just .467 (551 PAs) since the 2022 season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Aaron Civale since last season is 383.5 feet -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 398.5

Aaron Civale has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to September 3rd -- Bryan Woo has the longest active streak at 7.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pirates' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12
Brewers	32-23	18-12	14-11	20-15	12-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2
Brewers	25-29-1	13-17	12-12-1	17-17-1	8-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14
Brewers	34-21	19-11	15-10	23-12	11-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 25th	MIL	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8	PIT +134
Sep 24th	MIL	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 8	MIL +129
Sep 22nd	@CIN	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	PIT -108
Sep 21st	@CIN	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 9	CIN +105
Sep 20th	@CIN	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 9	CIN +109

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	86	6	5	0
RN.Mears, P	24	0.2	1	2
RJ.Payamps, P	4	0.1	0	0
LJ.Koenig, P	14	1	0	0
RD.Williams, P	21	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	1-5	0	2
2W.Contreras, DH	0-3	0	0
2G.Sanchez, PH	2-2	0	0
2G.Sanchez, DH	2-2	0	0
2I.Collins, PR	0-0	0	0
2I.Collins, DH	0-0	0	0
3G.Mitchell, RF	0-3	0	0
3J.Chourio, PH	1-1	0	0
3J.Chourio, LF	1-1	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	1-5	0	0
5J.Bauers, 1B	1-2	0	0
5R.Hoskins, PH	1-3	1	0
5R.Hoskins, 1B	1-3	1	0
6B.Perkins, CF	2-4	1	1
7S.Frelick, LF	1-3	1	0
7S.Frelick, RF	1-3	1	0
8J.Ortiz, 3B	3-3	1	1
9E.Haase, C	1-4	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	90	5	6	3
LR.Borucki, P	8	0.1	0	2
RC.Holderman, P	9	0.2	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	12	1	1	0
RC.Mlodzinski, P	21	1	2	0
LJ.Beeks, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-3	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Bart, C	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Gonzales, 2B	2-2	1	0	0
7B.De La Cruz, RF	1-4	1	1	2
8J.Triolo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
9L.Peguero, SS	0-3	0	0	0