Braves vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2023

Braves at Phillies

5:05 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

11-14

10 - 8

Philadelphia Phillies

13-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Walker			4.38	15-6
C.Morton			3.64	14-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 11-14	-1.5-109	o10-111	-175
Phillies 13-13	+1.5-110	u10-110	+143

Monday 5:05 p.m.

September 11, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Over 10-110

0.91u

Tailing the baseball goats of twitter

PHI +1.5-128

Over 9.5-110

0.91u

Featured Insight
The Phillies have scored 2.3 runs per game while trailing since last season -- seventh-highest in MLB (212 games). The Braves have allowed 2.2 runs per game while leading since last season -- tied for fourth-highest in MLB (239 games).

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 66% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Phillies have won just 44% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- seventh-worst in MLB.

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MLB NRFI Model Picks For Monday
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The Braves are 9-10 (.474) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Trea Turner is batting .302 on breaking pitches from RHP this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown a breaking pitch 51% of the time this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Trea Turner is batting .271 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 15th best in MLB-- 86th Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time since last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (267/654) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% -- 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (156 balls in play) -- tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 5-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Phillies' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	13-13	8-5	5-8	9-10	4-3
Braves	11-14	6-5	5-9	8-10	3-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	12-14	8-5	4-9	9-10	3-4
Braves	12-10-3	5-5-1	7-5-2	10-7-1	2-3-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	13-13	9-4	4-9	10-9	3-4
Braves	11-14	8-3	3-11	10-8	1-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	MIA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	MIA -173
Sep 9th	MIA	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -196
Sep 8th	MIA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	MIA -140
Sep 6th	@SD	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PHI -120
Sep 6th	@SD	L 0-8	+1.5 L	U 9	SD +110

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with hamstring
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Brandon Marsh
OF
Marsh is out with hamstring
Out
Ranger Suarez
P
Suarez is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	104	6	9	4
LD.Lee, P	8	0.1	0	2
RJ.Jimenez, P	11	0.2	1	0
LA.Minter, P	13	1	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	15	1	1	2
RK.Yates, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-5	1	1	2
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	2	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	0	0	2
5M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5F.Wall, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5F.Wall, DH	0-0	1	0	0
6E.Rosario, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6K.Pillar, PH	1-1	1	0	1
6K.Pillar, LF	1-1	1	0	1
7T.d'Arnaud, C	0-5	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	2-5	1	0	1
9M.Harris, CF	2-4	3	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	103	5.1	5	5
RA. Bellatti, P	21	1.2	1	2
RD.Covey, P	18	2	0	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	2-4	3	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	2-5	2	1	2
3B.Harper, 1B	2-3	3	1	2
4A.Bohm, 3B	2-4	0	0	3
5B.Stott, 2B	1-5	0	0	1
6B.Marsh, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6C.Pache, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6C.Pache, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7N.Castellanos, RF	0-5	0	0	0
8J.Cave, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Sosa, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Rojas, CF	0-0	0	0	0
9G.Stubbs, C	0-4	0	0	0