Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - July 11, 2024

Braves at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • BSSO
5 - 7
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Slade Cecconi logoS.CecconiArizona Diamondbacks logo6.662-7
Charlie Morton logoC.MortonAtlanta Braves logo4.198-10

Braves at Diamondbacks Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves
0-2
-1.5
-1.5+152
o9+102
-105
Diamondbacks
0-0
u9
+1.5-182
u9-122
-115
location pinThursday 1:40 a.m.
July 11, 2024
Chase FieldPhoenix
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Expert Picks
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
167d ago
Last 30d: 126-95-6 (+15.2u)
ARI -115
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
168d ago
Last 30d: 23-34-0 (-0.8u)
ARI +107
0.54u
Bet to -103
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
168d ago
Last 30d: 279-270-8 (-6.3u)
J.Kelenic o1.5 Total Bases+100
0.5u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
168d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Morton u17.5 Outs-121
1.21u
Under in 9/16, including 6/L9, and 5/7 on the road. DBacks starting to hit again - 117 wRC+ and a .762 OPS over the L14 vs righties. And like i highlighted in Morton’s last start, he has a very low zone% (50% is 102nd out of 149 pitchers with 50+ IP), and the DBacks have the 8th lowest chase rate (4th lowest over the L30 days). And the icing on the cake - the DBacks are #1 in wRAA against the curveball, which is Morton’s best and most frequently thrown pitch.

PRO Insights

Braves logo

Braves

ATL Insights
  • Braves logoBraves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% since last season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 40% against the Diamondbacks RPs since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.
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Diamondbacks logo

Diamondbacks

ARI Insights
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    Braves vs. Diamondbacks Previews & Analysis

    • Braves vs. Diamondbacks: Snakes Have Sneaky Value article feature image

      Braves vs. Diamondbacks: Snakes Have Sneaky Value

      Nick Martin
      Jul 10, 2024 UTC
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    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Line Movement Tracker

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    Braves vs. Diamondbacks Public Betting Percentages

    74%

    Bets%

    26%

    Money%

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Diamondbacks
    82-8037-4445-3637-4843-31
    Braves
    75-8735-4640-4160-7115-16

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Diamondbacks
    92-64-650-29-242-35-450-33-241-29-4
    Braves
    58-94-1025-53-333-41-745-77-913-17-1

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Diamondbacks
    89-7344-3745-3652-3335-39
    Braves
    89-7346-3543-3876-5513-18

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    Jul 10thATLL 2-6+1.5 LO 7.5ATL +101
    Jul 9thATLL 4-5+1.5 WU 9ATL -105
    Jul 7th@SDW 9-1+1.5 WO 8.5ARI +145
    Jul 7th@SDW 7-5+1.5 WO 7.5ARI +110
    Jul 6th@SDL 8-10-1.5 LO 8.5SD -120

    Braves vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates

    Braves Injuries

    • Chris Sale
      P

      Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.

      Out

    • Ronald Acuna
      OF

      Acuna is out for season with knee

      Out for Season

    • Austin Riley
      IF

      Riley is out with hand

      Out

    • Spencer Strider
      P

      Strider is out for season with elbow

      Out for Season

    Diamondbacks Injuries

    • Ryne Nelson
      P

      Nelson is out with shoulder

      Out

    Braves vs. Diamondbacks Box Score
    Braves Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Charlie Morton logoRC.Morton, P966.154
    Pierce Johnson logoRP.Johnson, P80.211
    Joe Jimenez logoRJ.Jimenez, P24102
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Jarred Kelenic logo1J.Kelenic, CF0-4000
    Ozzie Albies logo2O.Albies, 2B0-3100
    Austin Riley logo3A.Riley, 3B3-4100
    Matt Olson logo4M.Olson, 1B0-3001
    Marcell Ozuna logo5M.Ozuna, DH2-4212
    Adam Duvall logo6A.Duvall, RF0-4000
    Eddie Rosario logo7E.Rosario, LF1-4100
    Travis d'Arnaud logo8T.d'Arnaud, C2-4002
    Orlando Arcia logo9O.Arcia, SS0-3000
    Sean Murphy logo9S.Murphy, PH0-1000
    Diamondbacks Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Slade Cecconi logoRS.Cecconi, P62433
    Joe Mantiply logoLJ.Mantiply, P13110
    Kevin Ginkel logoRK.Ginkel, P15130
    Justin Martinez logoRJ.Martinez, P20120
    Ryan Thompson logoRR.Thompson, P14102
    Paul Sewald logoRP.Sewald, P8100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Corbin Carroll logo1C.Carroll, RF1-4100
    Ketel Marte logo2K.Marte, 2B2-4211
    Joc Pederson logo3J.Pederson, DH0-3000
    Christian Walker logo4C.Walker, 1B0-3001
    Lourdes Gurriel logo5L.Gurriel, LF0-4000
    Geraldo Perdomo logo6G.Perdomo, SS3-3201
    Eugenio Suarez logo7E.Suarez, 3B2-4213
    Alek Thomas logo8A.Thomas, CF0-3000
    Jose Herrera logo9J.Herrera, C1-3001

    Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds Comparison

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    Braves at Diamondbacks Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Braves
    0-2
    o4.5+100
    u4.5-130
    Diamondbacks
    0-0
    o4.5+114
    u4.5-145