Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - July 11, 2024

Braves at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

43-54

5 - 7

Arizona Diamondbacks

49-50

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Cecconi			6.66	2-7
C.Morton			4.19	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 43-54	-1.5	-1.5+152	o9+102	-105
Diamondbacks 49-50	u9	+1.5-182	u9-122	-115

Thursday 1:40 a.m.

July 11, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI +107

0.54u

Bet to -103

J.Kelenic o1.5 Total Bases+100

0.5u

C.Morton u17.5 Outs-121

1.21u

Under in 9/16, including 6/L9, and 5/7 on the road. DBacks starting to hit again - 117 wRC+ and a .762 OPS over the L14 vs righties. And like i highlighted in Morton’s last start, he has a very low zone% (50% is 102nd out of 149 pitchers with 50+ IP), and the DBacks have the 8th lowest chase rate (4th lowest over the L30 days). And the icing on the cake - the DBacks are #1 in wRAA against the curveball, which is Morton’s best and most frequently thrown pitch.

Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% since last season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 40% against the Diamondbacks RPs since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 26-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Diamondbacks' 50 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	49-49	23-27	26-22	27-36	22-13
Braves	40-57	21-27	19-30	30-45	10-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	53-42-3	26-21-3	27-21	34-26-3	19-16
Braves	40-51-6	17-28-3	23-23-3	30-41-4	10-10-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	49-50	25-25	24-24	32-31	17-18
Braves	43-54	25-23	18-31	38-37	5-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 10th	ATL	L 2-6	+1.5 L	O 7.5	ATL +101
Jul 9th	ATL	L 4-5	+1.5 W	U 9	ATL -105
Jul 7th	@SD	W 9-1	+1.5 W	O 8.5	ARI +145
Jul 7th	@SD	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 7.5	ARI +110
Jul 6th	@SD	L 8-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	SD -120

Chris Sale
P
Sale is out with ribs
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with abdomen
Out
Austin Cox
P
Cox is out with knee
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
P
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jordan Montgomery
P
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
John Curtiss
P
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	96	6.1	5	4
RP.Johnson, P	8	0.2	1	1
RJ.Jimenez, P	24	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	3-4	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	2	1	2
6A.Duvall, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	1-4	1	0	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	2-4	0	0	2
9O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9S.Murphy, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Cecconi, P	62	4	3	3
LJ.Mantiply, P	13	1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	15	1	3	0
RJ.Martinez, P	20	1	2	0
RR.Thompson, P	14	1	0	2
RP.Sewald, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-4	2	1	1
3J.Pederson, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
5L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6G.Perdomo, SS	3-3	2	0	1
7E.Suarez, 3B	2-4	2	1	3
8A.Thomas, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	1-3	0	0	1