Athletics vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - April 8, 2023

Athletics at Rays

8:10 pm • BSSUN

Athletics

14-13

0 - 11

Tampa Bay Rays

11-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Springs			0.56	2-0
S.Fujinami			4.85	2-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Athletics 14-13	+1.5+126	o7.5-115	+245
Rays 11-11	-1.5-145	u7.5-105	-295

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 08, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

S.Fujinami o4.5 Ks+146

0.5u

S.Fujinami o3.5 Ks-135

1.35u

Good buy low opportunity on Fujinami after a dreadful debut. The underlying metrics for Ks were very promising with a 18% swinging strike rate and a 40%+ whiff rate on his 3 main pitches. He only managed a 17% swing rate on pitches outside of the zone, but his stuff is so good that I can’t imagine that staying under 30% going forward. Once his fluky .625 BABIP comes back down to Earth he will be able to stay in the game longer and rack up plenty of Ks. Projecting this closer to -220 and if you rather tap into his upside by attacking the alt market of over 4.5 I’m projecting that as a coin flip and you can get +145 at some books

Under 8-115

0.4u

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The Athletics are just 55-5 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Athletics are just 31-56 (.356) at home since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Rays are 39-10 (.796) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

Seth Brown batted just .171 on the road over the last 30 days -- tied for 14th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Opponents batted just .176 (13-for-74) against Jeffrey Springs at home over the last 30 days -- fourth best among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

65% of Seth Brown fastball strikeouts were elevated last season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 68% of Jeffrey Springs fastball strikeouts were elevated last season -- 14th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 88th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has allowed an OBP of just .053 (19 PA's) this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .329 -- 100th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 63% (12 SO in 19 PAs) this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Athletics	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Athletics	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Athletics	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 7th	ATH	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 7.5	TB -282
Apr 5th	@WSH	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TB -275
Apr 4th	@WSH	W 10-6	-1.5 W	O 9	TB -178
Apr 3rd	@WSH	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8	TB -182
Apr 2nd	DET	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	TB -275

Luis Medina
P
Medina is out with elbow
Out
Ken Waldichuk
P
Waldichuk is out with elbow
Out

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Fujinami, P	79	4.1	1	5
LS.Moll, P	14	0.2	0	0
RD. Acevedo, P	30	1	0	4
RJ. Familia, P	9	1	0	0
RC. Pérez, P	17	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Ruiz, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Diaz, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3S.Brown, DH	0-2	0	0	0
3R.Noda, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4J. Aguilar, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5R.Laureano, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5C.Capel, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6B.Rooker, LF	1-2	0	0	0
7S.Langeliers, C	0-3	0	0	0
8J. Peterson, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9N.Allen, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Springs, P		89	7	7	0
RK.Kelly, P		26	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
2B.Lowe, 2B	1-2	4	1	3
3R.Arozarena, DH	2-5	1	1	4
4W. Franco, SS	1-4	1	0	0
4V.Brujan, SS	0-1	0	0	0
5L.Raley, LF	0-2	0	0	0
5H.Ramirez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5H.Ramirez, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6I.Paredes, 3B	1-3	0	0	3
7J.Lowe, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Margot, CF	1-3	2	1	1
9F. Mejia, C	2-2	2	0	0