France and Sweden will square off in the World Cup Round of 32 this evening. Kickoff from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J., is set for 5:00 p.m. ET, with the match airing live on FOX.
France vs Sweden odds price France as a -350 favorite on the moneyline and Sweden a +750 underdog. The over/under is 3.5 (+105o / -135u).
Let's get into my France vs Sweden predictions below, which include a same-game parlay plus the latest World Cup odds, starting lineups, betting trends, viewing information and weather forecast.
France vs Sweden Predictions, Picks
Pick: Both Teams to Score (-105, bet365)
As France aims to build on its perfect group stage record, Sweden looks to orchestrate a huge upset against one of the competition's most dominant teams.
My Sweden vs. France best bet is on both teams to score a goal in today's match. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live soccer odds page.
France vs Sweden Odds
| Sweden Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+1.5 +105 | 3.5 105o / -135u | +750 |
| France Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-1.5 -145 | 3.5 105o / -135u | -350 |
France vs Sweden Preview
Tough Task for a Porous Swedish Defense
France's high-powered offense, featuring Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, will test a Swedish side expected to deploy a deep defensive block. However, containing a French team that has scored at least three goals in each of its group matches is a monumental task for any defense, let alone one as porous as Sweden's.
Sweden's defensive struggles are well documented, with the team having gone 14 straight games without a clean sheet. Their group stage matches saw an average of 4.67 goals, highlighting their involvement in open, high-scoring contests.
This defensive instability is likely to be exposed by France's world-class attackers.
Historical Trends Favor France
Historically, France has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning seven of the 12 official meetings. Their most recent competitive games in the 2020 Nations League ended in French victories (1-0 and 4-2).
The last five encounters between these nations have averaged 3.0 goals per game, which reinforces the potential for another entertaining and high-scoring affair.
This will be their first meeting at a major tournament since 2012, and the offensive talent on both sides points toward goals.
France vs Sweden Same-Game Parlay
- Both Teams to Score (-105)
- France to Win & Over 2 Total Goals (-152)
While France enters this match as the heavy favorite, Sweden possesses enough offensive firepower to challenge the French defense.
The Swedish attack, led by the Premier League duo of Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres, has been effective throughout the tournament.
This is supported by the fact that the 'Both Teams to Score' selection has been successful in each of Sweden's last nine games, including all three group stage matches.
France, for all its attacking brilliance, has shown some defensive vulnerabilities. The team's expected goals against (xGA) of 2.86 from the group stage suggests that a potent Swedish offense has a solid opportunity to score.
Both Senegal and Norway managed to breach the French defense, indicating that a clean sheet is far from guaranteed for Les Bleus.
That said, France's attack has been exceptional, scoring 10 goals across three group games. They have scored three or more goals in every match of this tournament.
Now, the French face a Swedish defense that has not recorded a clean sheet in 14 consecutive matches across all competitions.
This sets the stage for France to score multiple goals, making the combination of a French victory and over two total goals an attractive proposition.
France vs Sweden Starting Lineups (Confirmed)
France Starting Lineup (4-2-3-1)
Goalkeeper: Maignan
Defenders: Kounde, Saliba, Upamecano, Digne
Midfielders: Rabiot, Tchouameni; Dembele, Olise, Barcola
Forwards: Mbappe
Sweden Starting Lineup (3-4-3)
Goalkeeper: Zetterström
Defenders: Gudmunsson, Lagerbielke, Lindelof
Midfielders: Berhardsson, Ayari, Bergvall, Stroud
Forwards: Elanga, Gyokeres, Isak
France vs Sweden Betting Trends
- 93% of bets and 92% of the money are on the total to go over 3.5
- 97% of bets and 97% of the money are on France to win outright
How to Watch France vs Sweden
- Date: Tuesday, June 30
- Time: 5:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
- TV Channel: FOX
- Streaming: FOX One
France vs Sweden Weather
Heat could impact the France-Sweden match with a heatwave hitting New Jersey this week. There will be a high of 91 degrees with 49% humidity in East Rutherford.
