The United States women's hockey team has advanced to the Olympic gold medal game, where it will take on Canada. Kalshi traders are heavily favoring the USA and have priced Team USA's Gold Medal odds at around 80 cents.
The Americans dominated Sweden 5-0 in Monday's semifinal at Santagiulia Arena in Milan, with goaltender Aerin Frankel recording her third shutout of the tournament. Five different players found the net as the U.S. extended its Olympic goal differential to a staggering 31-1 through five games.
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USA vs Canada Women's Olympic Hockey Odds
Prediction markets heavily favor the Americans heading into Thursday's final, with the YES contract trading at $0.80 (80% chance) while Canada sits at just 21% implied probability ($0.21). The market has also seen substantial activity as nearly 595,000 contracts have been traded on the U.S. gold medal outcome.
Canada secured its spot in the final with a 2-1 victory over Switzerland and was powered by two goals from Marie-Philip Poulin, who broke the all-time Olympic record for career goals in women's hockey. That semifinal wins set up the seventh meeting between these hockey powers in an Olympic gold medal game, with the U.S. and Canada having split the previous six finals.
The lopsided market odds reflect Team USA's overwhelming dominance in the tournament thus far.
With Frankel's stellar goaltending and a balanced scoring attack, it's easy to see why the prediction markets are so bullish on the United States. Thursday's gold medal clash promises to be a classic North American showdown, though bettors clearly believe Team USA will prevail and claim Olympic gold.
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in most states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections, and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment, and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
