NHL Odds, Preview, Prediction: Golden Knights vs. Flyers (March 14)

Golden Knights vs. Flyers Odds

Coming off a win on Sunday, the Vegas Golden Knights head to Broad Street on Tuesday night to face the Philadelphia Flyers. The underlying numbers for the Knights haven't been kind to them, though they keep winning. They’re 7-2-1 in their last 10 games with a current three-game winning streak.

The Flyers have played hard, but the results are not coming one bit. It’s like they’re looking at their opponents in the mirror. They have gone 2-7-1 in their last 10 and are currently going through a three-game losing streak.

Here’s a look at the odds, as well as our prediction for the Vegas Golden Knights vs. Philadelphia Flyers.

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Vegas Golden Knights

The Golden Knights have certainly been through adversity after losing captain Mark Stone to injury. Fortunately for them, Chandler Stephenson and Jack Eichel have been pillars to their ascent. It also doesn’t hurt to have mainstays like Reilly Smith and Jonathan Marchessault behind you, who are consistent 20 goal scorers.

Since the beginning of March, the Golden Knights have had a truly rough time generating even strength offense. They’re ranked 26th in expected goals with a 42.34 xGF% and the power play has suffered, only scoring 20.6%,

Similarly, the defense has not worked in their favor. This month, they have a fourth-worst xGA/60 at 3.44, which is unlike any Bruce Cassidy coached team. The penalty kill can also use some work, but it’s not terrible with a 79.4% success rate.

Goaltending has been a pain point for Vegas all season until it traded for Jonathan Quick. Quick struggled this year with the Kings, but in three starts with the Knights is 3-0, playing to an exceptional .939 SV%.

Philadelphia Flyers

After a recent front office change, it’s clear that the Flyers are rebuilding. That’s not to say there isn’t talent on this team, however. Leading scorer Travis Konecny will be out with an injury though. However, they’re continuing to win the Claude Giroux trade with Owen Tippett playing well. They’re also getting consistent production out of Kevin Hayes and Scott Laughton.

Contrary to the majority of the season, the Flyers are playing some decent hockey. They’ve generated a solid even strength attack with a 50.55 xGF%. The power play’s inefficiency hasn’t changed though, as they’re ranked 32nd converting 15.1% of the time.

Coach John Tortorella has whipped this team into shape on the defensive end. Since March 1, Philadelphia is second best with a 1.95 xGA/60. The penalty kill does need work, only converting 75% of the time, but it’s encouraging to see this type of defensive effort.

Carter Hart is doing his best to put the team on his back. The 24-year-old netminder is having a great month of March on a bad team, playing to a .920 SV% and an overall +8.8 goals saved above expected (GSAx).

Golden Knights vs. Flyers Pick

If you look at the standings and see this matchup, you would think this is a pure mismatch. However, I think the dots will soon connect for the Flyers. They are playing great hockey, and the results are not adding up for them. As opposed to their polar opposite Knights who have played poor hockey and have managed to keep winning.

Philadelphia has managed to shut its opponents down for the most part, and have a solid goalie in Hart as a second line of defense. Despite the talent Vegas has, it is not having an easy time generating substantial offense, which is where the Flyers come in.

Not only that, but I believe Quick is due for a stinker here. Prior to being traded, he was statistically playing like one of the worst goalies in the league. Goalies are normally unpredictable, and for a goalie Quick’s age, anything can happen.

I think the Flyers can pull off a big upset and send their fans home happy.

Pick: Flyers +140

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