The Texas Tech Red Raiders take on the West Virginia Mountaineers in Morgantown, West Virginia. Kickoff is set for 12:00 p.m. EST on ESPN.
Texas Tech is favored by -23.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -2500. The total is set at 53.5 points.
Here’s my Texas Tech vs. West Virginia prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 29, 2025.
Texas Tech vs West Virginia Prediction
- Texas Tech vs. West Virginia Pick: West Virginia +23.5
My West Virginia vs. Texas Tech best bet is on the Mountaineers to cover the spread. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Texas Tech vs West Virginia Odds
| Texas Tech Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-23.5 -115 | 53.5 -110o / -110u | -2500 |
| West Virginia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+23.5 -105 | 53.5 -110o / -110u | +1250 |
- Texas Tech vs West Virginia point spread: Texas Tech -23.5 (-115), West Virginia +23.5 (+105)
- Texas Tech vs West Virginia over/under: 53.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Texas Tech vs West Virginia moneyline: Texas Tech -2500, West Virginia +1250
Texas Tech vs West Virginia Preview
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview: Seeing Red
A cold front may be approaching Lubbock, but the Texas Tech campus is red hot.
From stomping on eighth-ranked BYU two weeks ago to knocking out UCF last week, the Red Raiders are storming through the college football landscape.
Quarterback Behren Morton has looked the part, leading the Big 12 in completion percentage, yards gained per pass attempt, and passer efficiency rating.
But even with all of that, the Red Raiders are one of the best rushing teams in the country behind a two-back committee, primarily led by Cameron Dickey.
Dickey leads the Big 12 with 13 rushing touchdowns, averaging 5.6 yards per carry and over 1,100 total scrimmage yards. Beyond him, the Red Raiders also run out J’Koby Williams, who is used as a receiving back a lot of the time, rushes for 5.8 yards per carry, and 1,000 scrimmage yards.
But even with Morton and the running back room dominating the field, the defense is where this program butters its bread.
As of this week, the Raiders rank third nationally in Standard Downs Success Rate allowed, third in Rush Success Rate allowed, and sixth in Pass Success Rate allowed.
Linebacker Jacob Rodriguez is a total dog, leading the FBS with seven forced fumbles and tied for a Big 12 lead with four interceptions with his teammate, cornerback Brice Pollock.
But not only that, David Bailey leads the FBS in total sacks with 12.5, and Romello Height is behind him with seven sacks.
West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Preview: Next Man Up
In Rich Rodriguez’s first season back in Morgantown, it’s been a rather forgettable time, especially after quarterback Nicco Marchiol went down.
This forced freshman quarterback Scotty Fox Jr. to step up.
Fox had the best game of his career in a loss against Arizona State, throwing for 353 yards and two touchdowns. But there’s definitely been some growing pains.
He's been completing passes at a sub-60% rate and has five interceptions in his four starts. But after the game in Tempe, things seem promising.
The Mountaineers tend to run the ball at a high rate, but will they have any success against Texas Tech's stingy rush defense?
Because let’s be honest. West Virginia’s two leading rushers in Diore Hubbard and Cyncir Bowers, are averaging 3.5 and 4.2 yards per carry clip, respectively. It also doesn’t help that top running back Jahiem White went out for the season in the second game.
So I don’t really anticipate the Mountaineers getting a legitimate run game going.
A lot of their game will have to be centered around Fox, whether it be scrambling or throwing screen pass after screen pass. They have some solid wide receivers in Cam Vaughn and Jeff Weimer, but they don’t throw the ball enough for me to consider them a threat to a defense like Texas Tech.
Texas Tech vs West Virginia Pick, Betting Analysis
If anything, this has been a developmental season for the Mountaineers, and you can’t help but be encouraged with what you’ve seen down the stretch.
They stayed alive in their last game against Arizona State in Tempe, beat 22nd-ranked Houston, beat Colorado, and hung around with BYU in Provo.
I don’t think this is a bad team per se, I think it’s very much shorthanded.
Our Action Network projections make Texas Tech an 18.5-point favorite, which seems reasonable.
I ultimately think Tech’s defense will be too much for Fox.
But on the other hand, the one thing Tech likes to do a lot is run the ball. Conveniently, West Virginia ranks 31st in Rush Success Rate allowed and 25th in EPA per Rush allowed.
So while I see many struggles for West Virginia, I also don’t think Tech will dominate.
Pick: West Virginia +23.5
