The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (9-2) travel to play the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (5-6) for their NCAAF Week 14 rivalry week matchup on Saturday, Nov. 30.
Louisiana is hunting for a 10-win season, while ULM wants to become bowl-eligible.
Louisiana is a 10-point favorite on the spread with a 49.5-point over/under. The Cajuns are -345 on the moneyline, while the Warhawks are +275 to grab the outright upset.
Read on for our Louisiana vs ULM predictions and college football picks.
Louisiana vs ULM Prediction
- Louisiana vs. ULM Pick: ULM +10
My Louisiana vs. ULM best bet is on the Warhawks to cover the spread, with the best line currently available at DraftKings, according to our live NCAAF odds page.
Louisiana vs ULM Odds
| Louisiana Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-10 -112 | 49.5 -110 / -110 | -345 |
| ULM Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+10 -108 | 49.5 -110 / -110 | +275 |
- Louisiana vs ULM Point Spread: Louisiana -10 (-112) · ULM +10 (-108)
- Louisiana vs ULM Total: Over/Under 49.5
- Louisiana vs ULM Moneyline: Louisiana -345 · ULM +275
Louisiana vs ULM Preview
Not all five-win teams are created equal. Determining which programs you think will care about getting to bowl eligibility is entirely subjective.
I think UL Monroe sits atop the motivation list under a new regime following a 2-10 season for a program that has never won a bowl game.
And while I don't show an abundance of value from a point-spread perspective, there are other factors besides what I think will be a super-motivated ULM team.
In terms of the Sun Belt race, Louisiana sits atop the West with a one-game margin over South Alabama. The Ragin' Cajuns will clinch the division with a win over UL Monroe.
However, if South Alabama loses on Friday, Louisiana won't have anything to play for on Saturday. And considering Texas State is currently a small favorite, there's a slightly greater than 50% chance that happens.
With original starting quarterback Ben Wooldridge already on the shelf with an injury, ULL might be more inclined to rest quarterback Chandler Fields (who I have rated a bit worse) ahead of the Sun Belt title game if South Alabama falls on Friday.
Louisiana vs ULM Pick & Prediction
From a matchup perspective, the UL Monroe offense is extremely limited. It plays really slow (ideal for a double-digit dog at least) and wants to feed running back Ahmad Hardy as frequently as possible.
Well, that formula could absolutely work against a horrific ULL run defense that ranks dead last in the country in Rush Success Rate allowed (and 132nd in Rush EPA).
The Warhawks should be able to sustain drives by relying on their ground game, which will shorten this game. On the other hand, their secondary can at least compete with Louisiana's high-powered aerial attack.
I also think Louisiana comes into this game a bit overvalued after benefiting from several breaks during league play. There's likely some turnover regression coming, and none of its three league road wins have come by more than 10 points against Coastal Carolina, Texas State and lowly Southern Miss.
I project the Warhawks closer to nine-point 'dogs than 10, and Louisiana head coach Michael Desormeaux is 3-6 ATS as a road favorite in his coaching career.
Pick: ULM +10 or better
Louisiana vs ULM Start Time, Channel, Streaming, How To Watch
| Location: | Malone Stadium |
| Date: | Saturday, Nov. 30 |
| Kickoff Time: | 12 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | ESPNU |
Louisiana vs ULM will be played at Malone Stadium on Saturday, Nov. 30 at 12 p.m. ET. You can stream the game live on ESPNU.
