Troy vs. Buffalo Odds & Betting Predictions - September 20, 2025

Troy at Buffalo

7:30 pm • ESPN+
21 - 17

Troy at Buffalo Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Troy
3-2
+2.5
+5.5-110
o43.5-118
+185
Buffalo
3-3
u43.5
-5.5-110
u43.5-108
-220
location pinSaturday 7:30 p.m.
September 20, 2025
UB StadiumBuffalo
Troy vs. Buffalo Expert Picks
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 118-99-6 (+5.7u)
Under 44.5-110
0.5u
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Last 30d: 57-55-1 (+3.4u)
TROY u19.5 Team Total-110
1u
BBOC Live @Joshua_Nunn https://myaction.app/3FDFZqrNOWb
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 95-92-0 (+5.6u)
Under 44.5-115
1u
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Last 30d: 57-55-1 (+3.4u)
Under 44.5-110
0.91u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 47-54-2 (-0.5u)
Under 42.5-105
0.29u
Agree with @Joshua_Nunn here Kilcrease is beyond bad so maybe we see Ale at QB here but expecting a grinder regardless.
Duck
Duck
Last 30d: 77-55-0 (+8.3u)
TROY u17.5 Team Total-120
1.2u
Full go here. Troy BU QB cannot throw the ball and Troy offensively cannot block and give him enough time to process the defense and make his reads. We saw Buffalo put up a stinker last week, I think Lembo corrects the mistake and gets the defense in better position this week after that poor performance on the road last week. Wake up call received. Buffalo D locks down here.
Under 43.5-108
1u
FanDuel We saw the lack of explosive plays against Kent. Troy defense was so ferocious against Memphis and the offense had 4 First downs without goose. Not easy for this Troy team this week. Slow pace grinder.

Troy vs. Buffalo Previews & Analysis

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    Troy vs. Buffalo: Expect a Grinding Game

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Troy vs. Buffalo Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Troy

Public

34%

Bets%

66%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Buffalo
2-41-31-10-31-1
Troy
3-21-22-00-13-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Buffalo
3-32-21-12-10-2
Troy
2-32-10-21-01-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Buffalo
3-3N/AN/A2-10-2
Troy
3-2N/AN/A1-02-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 13th@KENTW 31-28-23.5 LO 48.5BUFF -2100
Sep 6thSTFW 45-6-37.5 WO 48.5-
Aug 29th@MINNL 10-23+16.5 WU 42.5MINN +575
Jan 4th@LIBW 26-7-4.5 WU 51.5BUFF -192
Nov 27thKENTW 43-7-24 WU 51BUFF -1895
Team Stats
365
Total Yards
278
83
Total Plays
62
4.397590361445783
Yards Per Play
4.483870967741935
202
YDS
153
19/36
Comps/Atts
14/28
5.611111111111111
YPA
5.464285714285714
1/1
TDs/INTs
0/0
7/24
Sacks/Yards
0/0
163
Rush Yards
125
47
Attempts
34
3.4680851063829787
YPC
3.676470588235294
2
TDs
2

Turnovers

1
Fumbles Lost
0
1
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

3/4 75%
Redzone
1/1 100%
10/21 0%
3rd Down
6/17 0%
3/4 0%
4th Down
0/1 0%

First Downs

22
Total
14
10
Pass
7
11
Rush
6
1
Penalty
1
5/60
Penalties/Yards
5/30

Troy vs. Buffalo Odds Comparison

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Troy at Buffalo Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Troy
3-2
o19.5-114
u19-114
Buffalo
3-3
o24.5-108
u24.5-121