Mississippi St vs. Alabama Odds & Betting Predictions - March 10, 2023

Under in 13/19 SEC games. The overs were against UF (without Castleton), Vandy, UK, Mizzou, and AUB - those are all teams in the bottom half of def eff in the SEC (with the exception of AUB, but they struggle against good big men). BAMA is an elite defense, including the nation’s best 2P%. They do play fast and foul a decent amount, but Smith is a bad FT shooter. I think the pace could work against Smith though, who struggled in both matchups vs BAMA (15 and 5 pts). And Bama does draw fouls well (10th most in the nation). Lastly, Bama is a solid rebounding team, and should keep Smith off the offensive glass (3rd lowest opp oREB% in the sec).