The Western Conference playoffs continue tonight, Sunday, April 26, as the Los Angeles Lakers look to complete the first round sweep against the Houston Rockets.
By using our Pick Labs Ladders Tool, we can identify which players are statistically primed to go way over their projected totals. Below, we break down three ladder opportunities for tonight—spots where the math suggests a significant edge on alternate lines.
Let's get into our Rockets vs Lakers parlay for Game 4 on Sunday night.
Rockets vs Lakers Parlay for Game 4
- Jaxson Hayes 8+ Points (+191)
- Alperen Sengun 10+ Rebounds (+122)
Parlay Payout: +415 (DraftKings)
Jaxson Hayes Points Ladder
Lakers vs. Rockets | 9:30 p.m. ET
Jaxson Hayes has quietly become a vital part of the Lakers' rotation in this series.
After a quiet 4-point showing in just 13 minutes during Game 1, his workload has ballooned. He logged 21 minutes in Game 2 (6 points) and then racked up 12 points in 20 minutes during the Game 3 victory.
The big question tonight is the status of Austin Reaves, who is questionable to return from his injury.
While Reaves coming back could theoretically cut into some bench minutes, the Lakers are likely to be extremely cautious with his workload given their commanding 3-0 lead.
This "sweep scenario" often leads to more run for energetic bigs like Hayes, and our Pick Labs Ladders Tool is showing a massive edge on his scoring rungs:
6+ Points: 71.3% projected chance (16.3% edge)
8+ Points: 50.2% projected chance (15.9% edge)
10+ Points: 29.8% projected chance (10.3% edge)
We are taking the 8+ Points (+191) rung for the parlay.
With Houston's interior defense struggling to contain the Lakers' size, Hayes should have plenty of lob and put-back opportunities.
Alperen Sengun Rebounds Ladder
Lakers vs. Rockets | 9:30 p.m. ET
On the Houston side, Alperen Sengun has been a absolute monster on the glass the last two games.
After recording only 8 boards in Game 1, Sengun grabbed 11 rebounds in Game 2, and then posted a massive 16-rebound performance in Game 3.
The presence of Kevin Durant hasn't hampered Sengun's ability to clean the glass either—if anything, KD’s gravity on the perimeter seemed to open up the paint for Sengun to work.
Whether or not KD is healthy and in the lineup or remains sidelined tonight, Sengun has already proven he can hit double-digit rebounds regularly in this matchup.
Our Pick Labs models see consistent value across his rebounding milestones:
9+ Rebounds: 61.4% projected chance (4.1% edge)
10+ Rebounds: 49.0% projected chance (3.9% edge)
11+ Rebounds: 35.7% projected chance (1.7% edge)
We’re targeting the 10+ Rebounds (+122) rung.
Houston is fighting for survival, and Sengun is their primary engine in the middle. Expect him to be relentless on the defensive glass tonight.
Rockets vs Lakers Game 4 SGP
- Jaxson Hayes 8+ Points (+191)
- Alperen Sengun 10+ Rebounds (+122)
Parlay Payout: +415 (DraftKings)
If you combine these two props from our top edges in Pick Labs, you get a parlay with a potential a payout of +415.
This is considered a long shot for the reason, and you should treat it as such. However, we are showing a nice edge at that price — with our Pick Labs models projecting a 24.6% chance of this parlay hitting, while +415 implies only a 19.4% chance.
